Silver nightmare - will it hold 15 $?

Discussion in 'Silver' started by TreasureHunter, Nov 5, 2014.

  1. Holdfast

    Holdfast Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    Intrinsic value.

    According to the exchange rate at any given time. ( Crooks and thieves)

    According to the LBMA ( Cartel) :rolleyes:

    According to the worlds top miners (Who have hedged)

    According to coin collectors. (Who have hedged)

    According to industry. (Who will buy at the lows)

    Silver is a lump of silver and....history shows its intrinsic value, for all to see.
     
  2. Eruaran

    Eruaran Member

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    Silver nightmare? It's not a nightmare for me. :cool:
     
  3. Pirocco

    Pirocco Well-Known Member

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    The dollar sits now very close to the multiyear upward boundary of the currency tunnel.
    http://finviz.com/futures_charts.ashx?t=DX&p=w1
    The euro the same but low boundary.
    Stocks sit on multiyear highs.
    I think it just needs a US economical data revision (seems to be a habit there) to send everything in the other direction.
    My wage is this evening or tomorrow, if the silver price stays here then I purchase 5 kilo (not exact).
    Another silver step on the silver road. :D
     
  4. BeHereNow

    BeHereNow New Member

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    missinglink needs no help from me, but you just do not get it.

    ANYTHNG can be deemed to have value - to pay soldiers (for example). That does not give it intrinsic value.
    Anything that has been used as 'money' has changed in value. Some examples would be seashells, hemp, cigarettes, gold and silver.
    What is the value of the air that you breath? How much do you exchange for other things to get what you need? How poor would you have to be before you could not afford it?

    Does the cost of acquiring butterfly wings somehow determine the price or value of butterfly wings?

    ~ ~ ~
    Maybe this will help.
    How much is the air that I breath worth to you?
    What would you pay, for the air that I am going to breath tomorrow?
    With silver, what I have, or what you have, is worth the same (assuming it is the same shape, weight etc).
    How about air, is what I use or have worth the same to you as what you have or use?
     
  5. SpacePete

    SpacePete Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    Intrinsic value...

    "Mankind can live without gold but not without salt." - Cassiodorus, Roman statesman, circa 500 AD.

    Gold and silver may be a trusted medium of exchange, but it is a fallacy to believe these metals have intrinsic value. They are indisputably valuable over historic timescales, but gold especially, unlike salt, is only valuable because we agree it is. However, gold and silver are useful as money for their intrinsic properties; durability, divisibility and scarcity.

    From: ECONOMICS & SALT:
     
  6. lshallperish

    lshallperish New Member

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    lol rome fell before 500 AD
     
  7. mmissinglink

    mmissinglink Active Member

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    In my view, clarity of a term(s) or thought(s) that I am involved with discussing is never a moot point. And so yes, I do make it a point of defining what I see as a misapplied term in the discussion of the value of something.

    Intrinsic value (price.let's not make any mistake about it, it's price we are talking about here when we state "value" in the discussion of intrinsic/extrinsic value) of any inanimate thing is an empty or null set. That's not a philosophy statement, it's a logical statement when attempting to attach a specific value on anything - any commodity, any asset, and currency....anything.

    Having an intrinsic value means having a value that needs no other ("intrinsic" = unto its own). Having it's own value outside of any extrinsic valuation is never the case for silver or any commodity. The value of any commodity is always determined subjectively and extrinsically by people (or groups of like minded people) who desire to have or to own that commodity/asset/currency, etc. That value is changing all the time and it differs from one person/group to the next to the next.

    To answer your question, yes, nothing that is inanimate (that is, nothing that can not make a value (price) judgment) has intrinsic value. The fact that silver may have been valued by Roman soldiers and the Roman leadership during the Bronze Age doesn't mean that silver had any value to anyone else. It may not have to some and to others it may have. To others who may have valued it, the value that they attached to silver may have been very different than the value a Roman leader did.

    If it cost agent A from territory 1 X amount of resources and time to pull a ton of somewhat useful substance N out of the ground and it cost agent B from territory 2 8X for the same thing and agent C working on mining the same substance in territory 3 has no idea yet what it will cost her team, then what is the precise intrinsic value of substance N that moment or any given moment? If an alien mother ship came down to earth with unlimited amounts of substance N or had technology that could mine substance N for 1/10,000thX, then what would be the precise intrinsic value of substance N? What was the exact intrinsic value of substance N 30,000 years before anyone knew that substance ever existed? Substance N, just like silver or dog feces gets ALL its value from those who desire itbecause these things can not ever have a value (price) without others to attach a subjective value to it, dog feces, silver, substance N, or any inanimate thing has no intrinsic value.

    There may be mining costs but miners can't even agree what those are.

    Miners don't come up with even remotely similar numbers in terms of cost for mining an ounce of silver so to attempt to claim that the cost of mining an ounce of silver is an intrinsic value is not understanding how valuing things works. When I first got into stacking (around 12 months after $49 USD/oz silver - many people claiming that $49 was a real bargain price because the real value of silver is hundreds and even thousands of dollars an ounce), I can remember reading how some miners were claiming that all in cost of mining an ounce was like $34 USD /oz....considerably less than the $49 that many people seemed willing to dole out for an ounce but considerably more than some people apparently are willing to dole out for an ounce priced at $17. Today, miners are still all over the map in terms of their claims for what is the all in cost except for the fact that none of them seems to be claiming that $34 is really the cost. The point is of course, all of it...every part of what miners claim, is a subjective valuation that changes all the time. So what is the precise intrinsic value of silver?

    The people claiming that silver has intrinsic value always conveniently forget that the value (price) they call "intrinsic" is ALWAYS a subjective, extrinsic valuation that is changing all the time....while you read this, while you eat your next meal, while you have sex, and while you sleep. Silver has no intrinsic value because it needs others to attach a value (price) to it.

    Now you can call the cost of extraction of a single ounce of silver from the ground something, but it's a misnomer to call it an intrinsic value. Call it AIM (All In Mining) value for mining company B, call it something but the claimed alleged cost that mining co. B gives is not an intrinsic value.

    Finally, we should not (and I'm not stating that you are) confuse intrinsic properties or characteristics of a thing with what some call intrinsic value. You don't need miner B to attach a claim to silver that it has specific characteristics of atomic weight or melting point or whatever but silver can not itself determine what its value is...you need miner B and dealers who want to pay rent, taxes, electricity, salaries, etc, etc, etc to store it, and commodities exchanges, and people who make jewelry from it, and people who want it only if it comes in the form of semi-numi coins from a particular mint, etc, etc, etc. I think you get the point...value can only be extrinsic but characteristics or properties can be intrinsic.



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  8. Miksture

    Miksture Active Member Silver Stacker

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    Silver does have an intinsic value as it is used as an industrial material. When the market is very low, that value comes into play. To a certain extent it also has an effect on highs as well.
     
  9. SpacePete

    SpacePete Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    Oh great scholar of history, please educate us further.

    [​IMG]
     
  10. mmissinglink

    mmissinglink Active Member

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    Silver has utility in certain (industrial) applications, NOT intrinsic value. Utility is not the same as intrinsic value...very different in fact as i see it. If you disagree, what is silver's alleged intrinsic value? Be very specific please. When I talk about value, I am referring to the only measure that could relate to "value" in the context of silver as a commodity or asset purchased by industry/investors/collectors/stackers/all who buy - a price. So what price does silver attach to itself? And please do not list intrinsic qualities/characteristics/properties.





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  11. doomsday surprise

    doomsday surprise Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    The Western Roman Empire ended when Romulus Augustulus was deposed by the Germanic chief Odoacer in 476 AD. This is generally thought of as the end of the Ancient Roman Empire.

    The Eastern Roman Empire continued on for another thousand years. :)
     
  12. Court Jester

    Court Jester Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    so you are saying $8-9 silver by next easter not $36?
     
  13. SpacePete

    SpacePete Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    Back to where brief historical interlude began, intrinsic value...

    "Mankind can live without gold but not without salt." - Flavius Magnus Aurelius Cassiodorus Senator (c. 485 c. 585), commonly known as Cassiodorus, was a Roman statesman and writer, serving in the administration of Theoderic the Great, king of the Ostrogoths.

    Salt has intrinsic value to humans. Gold and silver do not.
     
  14. millededge

    millededge Active Member

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    camp x-ray, spelling division
    Jason Hommel
    June 23, 2013
     
  15. barsenault

    barsenault Well-Known Member

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    Alll of the 'pros' who were selling their goods predicted numbers like this. Quite commical. They better run for the hills if and when they come back on the scene. LOL.
     
  16. Sonic

    Sonic New Member

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    So following this theory are you assuming a return to gold backing or just hyper inflation?
     
  17. The Crow

    The Crow Member Silver Stacker

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    If it hits $10, and you buy at that price, it only has to go to $20 to make a half-decent profit.
    I would think that the chances of it getting back to above $20 would be quite good, so at this stage I still don't see too much to be worried about.

    If it goes to zero, and stays there, I will have lost little more than what my super lost in the hands of professional investors not many years ago. And the same happened in the '80s with my AMP investment and the Western-Royal super. And a mate of mine lost relatively huge sums (at the time >$80,000) thanks to Christopher Skase and Co during the same period. Only gambling what you can afford to lose leads to far less stress on the down even if it means less profit on the up.
     
  18. mmissinglink

    mmissinglink Active Member

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    The yabbermouth permabull's whom in 2012 and 2013 were exclaiming that silver was going to shoot to da moon tomorrow (at least one of them strongly suggested that silver would surpass gold in price but several were claiming silver would shoot into the triple digits) are either the filthiest con artists around or are among the most clueless knuckledraggers around; either way, it's permacrap like that which is spewed which has resulted in me never trusting a permabull ever again for very good reason. I now laugh at those fools.




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  19. Cheepo

    Cheepo New Member

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    Historically, it's a HIGH now. In fact, it's 3 times higher than the historical price.
     
  20. willrocks

    willrocks Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    * When you discount inflation over the past 20 years.
     

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