Silver Charting and Silver TA Chat

Discussion in 'Silver' started by Azure, Jun 24, 2012.

  1. trader10

    trader10 Member

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    Watch the for the volumes folks... no matter what....

    [​IMG]




    cheers

    Trader10 :)
     
  2. Gunna

    Gunna Member Silver Stacker

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    Little confused and still learning. What is the volume chart actually measuring?
     
  3. trader10

    trader10 Member

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    Hi Gunna,

    The number of contracts traded... from sellers to buyers.

    Even thought, when using charting tools and fin instos charting tools, they might not be 100% accurate.

    Volume is a great insight for reference...

    Read below for a better explanation:


    http://www.investopedia.com/terms/v/volume.asp


    The number of shares or contracts traded in a security or an entire market during a given period of time. It is simply the amount of shares that trade hands from sellers to buyers as a measure of activity. If a buyer of a stock purchases 100 shares from a seller, then the volume for that period increases by 100 shares based on that transaction.


    Volume is an important indicator in technical analysis as it is used to measure the worth of a market move. If the markets have made strong price move either up or down the perceived strength of that move depends on the volume for that period. The higher the volume during that price move the more significant the move.


    cheers

    Trader10 :)
     
  4. SS

    SS New Member

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    The amount of contract that exchanged hands. The larger the volume the larger the amount of exchange.
    eg the amount of exchange yesterday was HUGE, when silver break the $26. EVERYBODY was selling.
     
  5. wrcmad

    wrcmad Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    Still short with multiple contracts. $23 is a key level for me. I will update tonight.
     
  6. wrcmad

    wrcmad Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    Psychology is 90% of trading.
    Once you have it sorted you will reap the rewards. :)
     
  7. thatguy

    thatguy Active Member

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    Gap filled... should of seen that move earlier... lack of sleeep :(
     
  8. thatguy

    thatguy Active Member

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    daily candle is looking fantastic for the bottom to be in... will see where it finishes though as some hours still left in the day
     
  9. wrcmad

    wrcmad Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    Nope.
    Technical analysis doesn't try to explain. Rather take the facts (price, market forces) and use them to trade. ;)
    Fundamentals tries to explain.... but from my reading of the last 18 months of this forum, it does a shyte job of that. :D
     
  10. wrcmad

    wrcmad Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    Trading the drop:

    It has been publicised for well over a year that the $26 support was a key level, which if broken would make an excellent short trade.
    Long-term support lines with constant testing like this one don't come along very often:

    [​IMG]

    Entry level (short) = 2582
    Stop loss = 2612 (30 pips)
    Margin required per 500oz contract = USD$189

    First target was weak support at $23.
    Risk:rewards = 1:7.5 (they don't come much better than this)

    Exit level = 2316 (stopped out)
    Profit per contract = USD$1330 = 700% in 4 days. :D

    [​IMG]

    This trade reduced the average buy price for my physical stack by around $3 per oz.
    My average buy price for the last 18 months is now well under $20 per oz, and some purchases were made in the $30's.

    I have said it before, and I will say it again:

    Fundamental analysis approaches the price decision-making process by attempting to determine intrinsic value using available information, extrapolated by interpretation and translation which often contains a phsycological bias (eg. to da' moon). The problem with fundamental analysis is that it assumes information is disseminated perfectly and acted on rationally. Most stackers will tell you this does not happen in real markets (eg cartel), but ironically, their investment strategy is based on these two contradictory observations.

    Technical analysis approaches the price decision-making process by examining the market for the instrument itself using data such as price, volume, open interest etc. It is not concerned with the value of whatever underlies the financial instrument, but with how the forces of supply and demand are impacting upon it's price.

    In short: Fundamental analysis tells us what should happen to prices, technical analysis tells us what is happening to prices.

    Ignore market forces at your own peril. ;)
     
  11. upandaway

    upandaway Member

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    I'm not convinced of a long term bottom TG what do you like so much about yesterday's candle? The next trade setup I am really waiting for here (depending on how it gets to it) will be a short at about $25.95. First near hit of what is now mega resistance should bear fruit :)

    Please no one follow me. I'm in silver, that in its self should say enough :)
     
  12. wrcmad

    wrcmad Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    I will be watching this too.
    Note the 30min chart above shows MACD divergence - indicating a good chance of an upward retracement from the $23 level.
     
  13. N17

    N17 Member Silver Stacker

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    What site has the best live charts to follow
     
  14. Phiber

    Phiber Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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  15. Azure

    Azure Active Member Silver Stacker

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  16. RetardedMonkey

    RetardedMonkey Active Member Silver Stacker

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    Top stuff wrcmad!
     
  17. gelxi

    gelxi New Member

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    The bigger picture, from my point of view :)

    [​IMG]


    We are being protected by very long term .618 retracement at $20.00~$21.50 (it is also a long-term previous high). There is also a support at the bottom of the upward channel.

    This is why I see much more upside than downside from here on in.
     
  18. thatguy

    thatguy Active Member

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    Here's what I mean... Bit of a hammer
    [​IMG]
    we will test the lows again I think... if not actually get to 21.30ish
     
  19. wrcmad

    wrcmad Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    Agree. It wouldn't surprise me at all if it reached the $20 support.
    I haven't bought yet during this dip.... I just have this gut feel.....
     
  20. fiatphoney

    fiatphoney New Member

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    I saw some get sold out on that tail stop loss harvest.
    I couldn't play the paper myself, though charting is interesting.
    I am a simpleton. Seven sigma moves, c'mon.
    Once the margin calls are over you might as well throw darts for the next three months.
     

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