Discussion in 'Markets & Economies' started by fishduck, Sep 29, 2019.
Who thinks the RBA will cut rates this upcoming meeting?
Almost a certainty
How do you think PMs or the AUD would react to this?
I do know one thing:
1) If the RBA cuts and implies that they will watch and see -> I don't think there would be much movement
2) If the RBA cuts and says they will go further -> should rattle the AUD and PMs
3) If the RBA doesn't cut -> Strong AUD and weak PMs
On top of that, this is a 1% -> 0.75% cut, breaking a psychological barrier
Would you say my assessment is reasonable?
Yep, any cut will not be good for aud, negative when?
Any cut will push up PM's, likewise holding off will lead to a correction in PMs
PM will not react at all to RBA rate cut.
In context to world economy, Australian economy is less than drop in ocean.
Microsoft market cap is not much smaller than Australia.
But Australian Pesos will sink
Sorry I meant PM in relations to AUD.
A cut is basically guaranteed, especially since housing prices in Melbourne & Sydney have grown around 1.8%
At this point in the game, they have no choice other than to cut rates.
They cut as expected. Not much movement with the AUD or PM's.
Except wages haven't risen, and probably won't. Even though lower interest rates mean people can borrow more, they still need to come up with an bigger deposit. This will keep a lid on prices.
Do you mean Housing BOOM?
Well now that thats over, we can start asking, will the RBA cut rates again?
This explains what could be happening next.
Negative gearing bro... Banks will love you for this... They'll lend 95%, with loan guarantee/insurance of course, and you're set... Let your portfolio rise...
Do you even need to ask?
RBA can cut rates to ZERO... it's our good 'ol banks that don't want to pass those cuts..... fat cats need to eat you know
ScoMo will say "bring in the royal commission".....yeah right... who pays for his leadership challenge win from Turnbull?
Separate names with a comma.