Jim Rickards latest book "THE NEW CASE FOR GOLD"

Discussion in 'Gold' started by SpacePete, Apr 16, 2016.

  1. JulieW

    JulieW Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    There are a lot of links to stories that China will issue a gold backed yuan on April 19th. I think they are confusing the new Yuan backed Gold Exchange.

    There may be truth to the stories but l have not yet found a reliable source, just lots of alternative news site stories.

    If it is true and some analysts are saying it is true, then things could get very interesting very fast.

    Apparently the Chinese have also declined to accept dollars in exchange for the new gold backed Yuan. That would be cataclysmic and the $64,000 USD gold price quoted by Reuters may become real.

    There are a few scenarios where this could all be true, but until a real news site picks up the story I'll keep to my own timetables.

    I'll watch April 18th carefully though!


    https://politicalvelcraft.org/2016/02/01/shanghai-shock-april-19-2016-yuan-based-gold-standard/

    And ANZ is involved with China in this venture btw.
     
  2. JulieW

    JulieW Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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  3. James

    James Member

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    This Bloomberg article explains much which will prove to be true.
    But, being dated 5 June 2015, it is an early warning.

    When gold reserves in China, Russia etc are audited in a believable way - simple maths will reveal to the
    world the gold reserves controlled by the US government. That is how the US reserve currency status will die.
    A rush out of $US assets will then happen. In that way, gold and most physical assets will be valued much more highly in $US.
    With the reserve currency gone - a major revaluation of all currencies will happen in relation to gold and physical assets.
     
  4. alor

    alor Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    gold was 35 went to 800,

    now from 1200 go to 10000, not a big deal
     
  5. dccpa

    dccpa Active Member

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    After being suppressed for almost 40 years gold was freed right during a period of high inflation and went from 35 to 800/850. Not exactly the economic climate we are in today. And who is to say gold isn't headed back below 1000? What would make gold go to 10000 today would be catastrophic economic events. I would call that a big deal.
     
  6. PitBullion

    PitBullion New Member

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    Agreed. There would have to be a major happening for Gold to shoot up that high. Info wars, Rickards.....not for me.
     
  7. SpacePete

    SpacePete Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    Just because you don't want a global financial crisis doesn't mean there wont be a global financial crisis. And it may not be an overnight event, it may develop over a couple of years.
     
  8. SpacePete

    SpacePete Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    An interesting point (repeated in the interview in the first post) is that gold is unique in attracting highlevel, widespread criticism and a demeaning of individuals that hold gold, something you dont see this with other metals, while in parallel many countries (with some notable exceptions) are growing their stockpiles of gold.
     
  9. Ronnie 666

    Ronnie 666 Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    I love these 10% ers. So what do you do with the other 90% ? Cash in the bank ? Stocks -property ? Seriously where do they get 10%. So if the world falls apart and gold goes up say 10x and everything goes to hell you break even lol. That is a plan I call BS. My motto is buy as much as makes you feel comfortable. That may be 10% or 50% or 100% - it all depends. Also it depends on how much you have. If your total wealth in $200M that would be different to someone who has $10k.
     
  10. SpacePete

    SpacePete Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    Yes, it would depend on your risk appetite, outlook and personal wealth at a particular point in time. Not all of us can afford both property and a sizeable amount of gold (for example), but I would say at least try to have some physical holding of precious metals, and if you cant afford gold then even silver is better than nothing (and better than investments that can evaporate to nothing.) An ounce of gold or a kilo of silver will still be an ounce of gold or a kilo or silver in a decade's time.
     
  11. alor

    alor Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    since we all are at different places, so the impact from ground zero would be greatly different.
     
  12. JulieW

    JulieW Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    Rickards' constant advice is that Gold is insurance. Not a speculative play.

    Eternal bear Marc Faber says the way to go is 25% each of equities, PMs , fixed income securities and cash, and real estate, since they rise and fall in opposition so you sell out of one into another at highs and lows to maintain your figures. So gold doubles and RE falls, sell gold, buy real estate until you hit your 25% balance again etc.

    It often seems that gold and silver bug views are 100% in PMs and then sell it all to buy RE and stocks when PMs go to the moon.

    Overall I wish I'd found Marc Faber 30 years ago.
     
  13. SpacePete

    SpacePete Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    Avoid the fallout.
     
  14. Aurora et luna

    Aurora et luna Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    I really dislike teasers!
    Can anyone here help me out by telling me what he is alluding to in the quote below?

    "And on Page 166, I show you my "mystical" gold-buying formula. Don't buy any gold until you see it."
     
  15. whinfell

    whinfell Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    Buy low, sell high? :p
     
  16. JulieW

    JulieW Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    Interested to know a real answer to that one too.
     
  17. Aurora et luna

    Aurora et luna Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    I am just guessing!
    I think he is talking about his one shoe fits all ratio of 10% of your assets in gold.
    His logic doesn't make sense! If as he claims one day there will be acute gold shortages and the possibility of gold spiking upwards of $100 a day or $1000 a week, why would anyone want to stick to a 10% ratio?
    If I believe his overly optimistic $US10,000 target, which I don't, then every spare dollar I have would be invested in physical gold.
     
  18. hilaire9

    hilaire9 Member

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    If you can manage to read 166 pages of Mr. Rickards' dead prose style, you deserve whatever crap is there.
     
  19. SpacePete

    SpacePete Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    He was being sarcastic by calling it "mystical". His advice is:

    * Don't use leverage (borrowed money or futures contracts) to buy gold due to the volatility when measured against USD.

    * For investable assets, have a 10 to 20 percent allocation of gold.

    * DO NOT go 100% gold. He says he doesn't believe in having everything tied up in one asset class.

    * The 10% to 20% allocation applies to investable assets, the liquid component of your portfolio. The excludes you home and whatever capital is tied up in making a living... these are not your investable asset pool.

    * He recommends to stay focused on the long term and not to get too distracted with the daily ups and downs in the spot price. He says it is the dollar that is the asset under threat, not gold.
     
  20. SpacePete

    SpacePete Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    ^^^ Basically he comes across as somewhat conservative in his advice ^^^
     

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