is rhodium a buy?

This was promising news for Rh a day or so ago

“Analysts say the supply/demand deficit for palladium will deepen this year as a result of a furnace explosion at an Anglo American Platinum plant, while the cutback will probably erase a surplus that had been expected for platinum.

One bank, BMO Capital Markets, issued a report early Wednesday hiking its price forecasts for platinum group metals in 2020.

Amplats, the world’s second-largest platinum producer, declared a force majeure Friday and cut its guidance for output of platinum group metals after an explosion resulted in the shutdown of Anglo Converter Plant processing facilities in South Africa.The explosion at a phase A unit occurred in February at the Waterval smelter. Original plans had been for a phase B unit to take over production, but water detected in the furnace meant the risk of another explosion, so the company shut down the plant, Amplats reported.”

““Our [forecasts for] rhodium prices for 2020 and 2021 have risen over 100%,” BMO said. The bank forecast $12,750-per-ounce rhodium this year, up 129% from a prior forecast of $5,563. The 2021 forecast was hiked to $8,625 from $4,000 previously. This metal was already priced high amid supply tightness.”
https://www.kitco.com/news/2020-03-...n-PGM-supplies-BMO-hikes-price-forecasts.html

BMO speculated future price prediction needs to be considered in terms of BMO’s failure to predict current price in the past and future, but also the unreferenced nature of their current quoted predictions, without qualification.

I’d say that mine failure is a bullish counterweight to matters at hand, regardless.

And also, it is hard to know precisely if you are not privy to the most important information.

 

Now that's a crash!!! Or is this an error?

 

https://www.kitco.com/market/

It’s not showing up at Kitco yet. No Rhodium futures market from what I understand, so it comes down to physical ounce trading.

 

Glitch it was, it seems nothing can knock Rhodium down.

 

Rhodium collapsed 40%. Capitulation near?

 

I doubt it - but at some time in the future people will know the full scale of this worldwide event and once the initial scary bits are done with, a new normal will set in and markets will stabilise

Many scary bits are yet to come, so I think we’re not quite done yet with Rhodium.

Rh had a big run up on a liquidity squeeze and no futures markets to control price. This now works in reverse.

With the belt now relaxed on demand a lot of air has come out and it is still around 7-8 times what it was in 2016. As we know the biggest gains in the exponential function are in the last few doublings before a top

It could be spectacular buying if we get down to a major low, so it is one to watch. One of the main mines is hobbled for now, so that puts a bit of an extra floor under it.

 

Keeps going up. ICE cars aren't going away.

 

Mirrors bitcoin..a parabolic rise like this can’t be good. Makes me cautious about the stock market. But they say stocks are going to rise this year.

 

This spike happened before the GFC. This and other factors are replaying the build up to another GFC. Might not be long before we find out.

 

Who the hell is going to buy it if the holder is a "small guy" and decides to sell? There are very few dealers and even fewer "fools" to buy at this price.

 

Rhodium is an industrial metal, not an investment metal. Car makers are forced to buy at any price in order to meet global environmental regulations. It seems there is a supply shortage atm, so car companies have no choice but to bid for the limited supply in order to sell ICE cars.

The rise in Rhodium price is a clear sign that electric cars for the masses will not happen for a long long time. So Tesla's valuation is a pipe dream.

 

There were actually packaged Rhodium bars and powder available for investors. But I think even in the US it would be hard to re-sell.

 

I actually looked at rhodium early 2018 when I was researching on whether to buy pm but couldn't find a way to buy then and also couldn't stomach the fact that it doubled from about $1000 a year ago. I generally don't chase. Anyway, just to show how undervalued platinum and silver really are.

 

Why do you think that? There is no supply shortage of silver.

 

Yes you can buy Rhodium for an investment, but generally people don't. (partly for reasons you mentioned)

 

Is there a shortage for bitcoin?

 

If graphene won't kill silver, then electric cars and solar panels and other stuff will propel it possibly more than 10x its current price.

 

I keep telling people that it's at most an ETF/derivative or poker chip. Worthless. Not a store of value, like Peter Schiff says.

 

bitcoin has a market cap of $670 billion. Slv only $13billion. It’s a drop in the bucket. As for physical, forget it.

https://coinmarketcap.com/