Australia will be a casualty of the currency wars

Discussion in 'Currencies' started by crewy, Dec 19, 2012.

  1. crewy

    crewy Active Member

    Joined:
    Jul 18, 2011
    Messages:
    161
    Likes Received:
    78
    Trophy Points:
    28
    Location:
    Perth
    "So next year Australian businesses and investors should see a unique combination: a persistently high exchange rate and historically low interest rates.

    In simple terms, this means weak manufacturing and strong housing, with higher unemployment limiting the recovery in housing. GDP growth is likely to weaken and there will continue to be a big gap between business and consumer confidence - because consumers win from a high dollar but businesses, on the whole, lose."

    http://www.abc.net.au/news/2012-12-19/kohler-currency-wars/4435690

    High AUD, low IR, High cost of housing, low manufacturing output = Screwed
     
  2. mmm....shiney!

    mmm....shiney! Administrator Staff Member Silver Stacker

    Joined:
    Nov 15, 2010
    Messages:
    18,687
    Likes Received:
    4,448
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Now, where did I put my small dog?
     
  3. Silverthorn

    Silverthorn Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Apr 29, 2010
    Messages:
    2,505
    Likes Received:
    28
    Trophy Points:
    48
    can't see housing doing any good unless the capital comes from overseas. savers/ings will shift out of banks as opportunity costs vanish.
     

Share This Page