FED (just annouced) Official Rates to rise to 0.25% Last move was December 2008 How will the shockmarket react now
Gold was trading on speculation, now it's official, more volatility to come in 25 mins as Yellen makes her speach
Cue the conspiracy theorists that the timing with the release of Star Wars Force Awakens is no coincidence
Rate rise was widely expected. The market looks to have pulled a typical "buy the rumour, sell the fact" routine. Commentators are also interpreting "dovish" comments for future policy which signal the next rate rise could be some way off. This would also be contributing to the AUD up, Gold up etc.
More specifically, they have been targetted to be in the range of 0.00-0.25% for years. The effective daily rate (ie basically the average of all trades throughout the day) has been between roughly 0.07% and 0.20% since ~2009 with the last 12 months basically averaging 0.125%. Now the target federal funds rate range will be 0.25-0.50%.
So how many traders now dumping Junk bonds for Sovereign bonds?, I'll give it to about (March/April) next year before the ripple effect of this crashes the bonds/derivatives. Of course more likely Yellen will drop rates and increase QE to combat this before it gets too bad. The fact that the FED minutes really softened the blow of the rise to me says they are already ready to back peddle on it in the new year.
[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LodJTlV-woQ[/youtube] [youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VMQ-Od-KBNs[/youtube]