Calling $1250 gold/oz by 18/05/13

Discussion in 'Gold' started by VRS, Apr 12, 2013.

  1. TreasureHunter

    TreasureHunter Well-Known Member

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    It really looks bad for gold!

    Remember what I said back in late 2012? I did see the signs of the gold correction. I'm afraid it will go way lower than this.

    My predictions also linked it to the euro's value loss (or even crash), which would strengthen the dollar.

    I guess negative investor sentiment will accelerate and bring gold even further down!

    Some ETF holders might short their positions in order not to end up "in the ditch".

    VRS: what are you basing your predictions on? (23 $ silver and 1,250 $ gold by May 15th?)

    Why those prices? Why by May 15th? Why not higher, why not lower?
     
  2. thatguy

    thatguy Active Member

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    here we are ppls, closing shorts @26.50 reopen @ sub 26
     
  3. long88

    long88 Member

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    Guys....

    It is almost EOFY in US. people have to made money for the .............. insert your reason there for the smart money etc (lock in profit, etc etc).

    after this smack down in price (buying opportunity), then next will be up. (fundamentals are still there nothing changes).

    tell me the reason why you stack again ?
     
  4. thatguy

    thatguy Active Member

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    caught a long @26.50 wow dream stuff really stops below the 26 area
     
  5. AngloSaxon

    AngloSaxon Active Member

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    Ay Carumba!
     
  6. menotcrimex

    menotcrimex Member Silver Stacker

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    This cat is ready to pounce
     
  7. southerncross

    southerncross Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    All in your mind
    Now get ready for the retrace.
     
  8. long88

    long88 Member

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    wish i could pick the bottom..
     
  9. TreasureHunter

    TreasureHunter Well-Known Member

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    It's ay caramba! :D

    Parece que el oro est bajando mucho! :eek:
     
  10. thatguy

    thatguy Active Member

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    gold is being held up by silver... IF silver crosses the 26 then it'll be fun
     
  11. TreasureHunter

    TreasureHunter Well-Known Member

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    Please elaborate!

    I want to know more about what you think... yes, silver has strong resistance there... It doesn't show much volatility now.

    You think gold will plummet as soon as silver goes way below 26 $?
     
  12. thatguy

    thatguy Active Member

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    yeah that's my plan... I have little to do with it though, just along for the ride
     
  13. JulieW

    JulieW Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    Jim Sinclair
    No margin equals no problem. People will do more as their emotions dictate and that cannot be altered. All the manipulation and false MSM cannot change the end game which is gold at much higher prices.

    This is 1979 all over again. Only the strong will survive. Fluctuations are only going to get worse.

    The weak, as always, will perish.
     
  14. Golden ChipMunk

    Golden ChipMunk Well-Known Member

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    :lol:
    Which comes first the egg or the chicken?

    Gold hold silver. Silver hold gold.
    :rolleyes:

    Aye, Im still waiting, :D
     
  15. menotcrimex

    menotcrimex Member Silver Stacker

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    The Chicken came first but it was the goose that lay the golden eggs
     
  16. TreasureHunter

    TreasureHunter Well-Known Member

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    I went back above 1,500 $, but now it's 1,499 $.

    I guess forces will drag it lower and lower... as the eurozone sinks deeper, people will rush to dollar, yuan, ruble and other currencies.

    Stack dollars now... and invest in PMs when they're even lower than now.
     
  17. VRS

    VRS Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    Personally I hope you're right SC
     
  18. VRS

    VRS Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    Gold down $76 in the last 18 hrs - silver down a massive $1.56...

    To get to the levels I'm talking about we're going to have several 'one step forward, three steps back' days I think - may be sooner that I thought too :|

    Who's buying this?
     
  19. VRS

    VRS Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    Institutions 'flee bullion'

    REUTERS:

    * ETF outflows, Cyprus gold sales spook market

    * Japanese bond investors selling also behind sinking prices

    * Bullion takes silver, commodities lower

    By Clara Denina and Barani Krishnan

    LONDON/NEW YORK, April 12 (Reuters) - Gold sank almost 5 percent into bear territory on Friday as institutional investors fled bullion in favor of other safe-haven assets amid concerns about central bank sales and souring sentiment.

    The breadth of the sell-off will underline some expectations that gold's meteoric rally may be coming to an end after 12 years of gains.

    The relentless selling sent gold below $1,500 an ounce for the first time since July 2011, and put the market on track for its worst weekly performance since December 2011.

    Bullion has soared by more than five times due to its status as a safe-haven investment in troubled times and fears of inflation while the Federal Reserve has embarked on its aggressive stimulus program.

    On Friday, an unexpected contraction in U.S. retail sales, which hurt stocks and supported the dollar on Friday, added to pressures building in the course of the week from several factors, including a draft plan for Cyprus to sell bullion and outflows from exchange-traded gold funds.

    "The scale of the decline has been absolutely breathtaking. We tried to rally and that just didn't get anywhere ... there hasn't been any downside support, it's like a knife through butter," Societe Generale analyst Robin Bhar said.

    The pace of the sell-off appeared tied to volatility in the price of Japanese government bonds, which has forced certain holders to sell other assets to meet the risk modeling of their investment portfolios.

    "The economic sensitive commodities - energy, industrial metals - have been signaling weakness for the past two months, and you could see that many investors are now reassessing global growth prospects," said Jeffrey Sherman, a commodities portfolio manager at DoubleLine Capital LP in Los Angeles.

    Gold hit a low of $1,484.30, down 4.85 percent and was heading for a 6-percent decline this week, in its biggest weekly drop since December 2011. It was down some 23 percent below the record peak hit in September 2011 at $1,920.30. Bonds rallied on Friday.

    U.S. gold futures also hit their lowest since July 2011, with gold for June delivery falling to as low as $1,481.3 an ounce at 3:50 p.m. EDT (1950 GMT). It settled at $1,501.40, down 4.1 percent.

    Other precious metals also sold off, with silver the biggest loser, sliding 5.36 percent to $26.12 per ounce. The commodities complex came under pressure as Brent crude oil hit an eight-month low.

    A European Commission assessment of what Cyprus needs to do as part of its European Union/International Monetary Fund bailout earlier this week showed it was set to sell gold reserves to raise around 400 million euros ($525 million).

    While Cyprus' gold sale in itself is small, heavily indebted euro zone nations such as Italy and Portugal could also find themselves under increasing pressure to put their bullion reserves to work.

    "If Cyprus can break the gold market, then (there are) many reasons to be worried, with Slovenia, Hungary, Portugal, Spain and Italy in line," said Milko Markov, an investment analyst at S.K. Hart Management.

    Spot gold was down nearly 4 percent on the day and off almost 5 percent on the week - its worst week since Dec. 2011. It was down some 22 percent below the record peak hit in September 2011 at $1,920.30.

    Outflows from exchange-traded gold funds led by SPDR Gold Trust - the world's largest bullion-backed ETF - added to the weakness in gold seen from the beginning of the week.

    The sell-off shares in the GLD, which brought the ETF to a session low of $144.34, had the effect of "slaying the most ardent golden bull," said Andrew Wilkinson, chief economic strategist at Miller Tabak & Co Inc. (Additional reporting by Herbert Lash in New York; Editing by Phil Berlowitz, Veronica Brown, Jane Baird and Gunna Dickson)

    END
     
  20. G-Log

    G-Log Member

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    I don't mean to sound too weird here but last week I had a dream of weighting a bag of carrots on a scale. I was baffled why I would dream something like that. Then the other night 10th I had the dream again and this time noted the reading on the scale was 1.200. So I thought about it and realized the carrots symbolized gold (as in Karats). I panicked at the realization. But all we can do now is hold and ride this through.
     

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