Aussie dollar to drop below 66c - "benign" collapse ahead

Discussion in 'Currencies' started by SpacePete, Sep 11, 2014.

  1. mmm....shiney!

    mmm....shiney! Administrator Staff Member Silver Stacker

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    @SilverPete, I couldn't quote you for some reason :/

    I think in the main it's because the huge amount of mining equipment required for future expansion has been purchased already.
     
  2. willrocks

    willrocks Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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  3. willrocks

    willrocks Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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  4. bordsilver

    bordsilver Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    The old notions of a linear value adding chain are becoming more and more meaningless as the complexity of the capital chain has increased overtime and B2B transactions between different "industries" become more and more incestuous. I'd argue that Australia's exploration and mining industry is one of most highly skilled and high tech industries on the planet. The companies have moved far beyond panning in rivers or using basic picks and shovels. The various cryogenic technologies involved in manufacturing, handling and transporting LNG are cutting edge. The seismic, imaging, geologic, drilling etc technologies involved in exploration are very sophisticated. The skills and technologies involved in the logistics and physical execution of economically extracting gold from deep underground mines from ore grades of 1-2 grams/tonne aren't to be sneezed at. Many of the developments then spill over to other sectors of the economy.

    Edit: The same goes for much of the agriculture industry although to a lesser extent than mining.
     
  5. willrocks

    willrocks Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    http://www.theaustralian.com.au/bus...and-for-iron-ore/story-e6frg90f-1227054864276
     
  6. JulieW

    JulieW Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    [​IMG]
    Source: Past Performance

     
  7. willrocks

    willrocks Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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  8. col0016

    col0016 Active Member

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    So are people here going to be buying $US since we're apparently going to significantly drop?
     
  9. Holdfast

    Holdfast Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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  10. long88

    long88 Member

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    and park it in the us property.. producing income every month.



     
  11. SpacePete

    SpacePete Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    Possibilities raised by various forum members from another thread: http://forums.silverstackers.com/topic-55433-how-would-you-hedge-against-an-aud-collapse-10c.html

    * USD
    * Hard assets valued in USD
    * Silver
    * Gold
    * Platinum
    * USD ETF on the ASX
    * Bitcoin
    * CFDs
    * HKD
    * Mixed hedge portfolio: gold + silver + real estate/land + other currencies (of your choice) + other PM's (platinum/palladium) to diversify
    * Shares in companies that make significant income from overseas
     
  12. SpacePete

    SpacePete Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    Wow... just wow:

     
  13. willrocks

    willrocks Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    I'm just putting this out there. We should all have a minute of silence to think about how the legal firms and banks will be affected:

     
  14. willrocks

    willrocks Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    Does anyone have some good strategies to short the AUD?
     
  15. smk762

    smk762 Active Member Silver Stacker

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    WA public service is not highly paid, except a few at the top (just like large corporations). For the average worker, compared to the private sector, and FIFO miners in particular, they are underpaid. Most are struggling like anyone else. Over the last 3 years they've had a hiring freeze and made many people redundant, increasing the workload on those who remain, often tasked with duties previously done by those on higher pay levels. Departments that changed their name 2 years ago still can't afford uniforms with the new name and logo. When the previous General Agreement with the union expired, the government let it ride for over a year while "negotiating", and when a deal was finally reached, annual wage growth was less than inflation, job security made a thing of the past, and job satisfaction nothing but a memory.

    But yeah, keep blaming the real workers for the inflated salaries of public service "executives", while abusing the rank and file for taking longer to provide services.
     
  16. long88

    long88 Member

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    just short it directly from fx broker..

     
  17. SpacePete

    SpacePete Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    [​IMG]
     
  18. long88

    long88 Member

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    mortage auction will start to appear more..

    property that is not on the chinese investor interests will sell for less.

    and we need to do our bid (patriot) to buy/spend more money to get the economy going.. take on more debt...

     
  19. mmm....shiney!

    mmm....shiney! Administrator Staff Member Silver Stacker

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    You wouldn't be a public servant by any chance smk? :)
     
  20. boston

    boston Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    I have worked in the public service and can state that I was receiving circa 50% more in wages than the private sector. This was for an entry level job.

    I also did much less work in the public service than the private sector.

    Edit: I also had a complaint against me for working too hard - True story! It really makes you wonder.
     

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