What's the future of silver look like to you?

Discussion in 'Silver' started by Coins A-Z, Nov 23, 2017.

  1. Skyrocket

    Skyrocket Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    No way it will continue to stay sideways for foreseeable future. Not under these global economic conditions where nearly every nation is drowning in debt and everything is in a bubble except for PMs. When the crash happens (which is starting to happen now) there will be a massive flight to PM safety and there won't be enough PMs to go around and the bank manipulators can stick it up their bums.
     
  2. Court Jester

    Court Jester Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    or

    it will continue to go sideways for many many more years
     
  3. SlyGuy

    SlyGuy Active Member

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    It sure did go sideways from 1980-2000. And it went sideways for many long periods throughout history before that. There is nothing it "can't" do...

    The PM market (and all other ones) can do whatever buying and selling and supply dictates.
     
  4. JOHNLGALT

    JOHNLGALT Well-Known Member

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    "The PM market (and all other ones) can do whatever buying and selling and supply dictates."
    Yeah, sure, just don't mention the MaNiPuLaTiOn from your part of the world.
    Anyway, Sterling has enough popcorn to last that out.
    p.s. Sterling has been residing in America recently so he has picked up the popcorn habit.
    STERLING UP TO HIS EARS IN POPCORN.jpg
     
  5. alor

    alor Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    heh the pop corn is GMO
    get the Russian corn, its GMO free
    never knew that there is demand and supply markets
    lie boar is real man
    is there manipulation in real estate markets ?
     
  6. sgbuyer

    sgbuyer Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    Had been dumping my long held stocks since September to offset stock gains against silver losses and to shore up my gsr. But because of the bearish talk on silver, I didn’t dump everything. Now I lost nearly 30% on the remaining stock I didn’t dump. Too late to sell now so might as well wait for the next bear rally.

    Why didn’t the anal-ysts post bearish articles on stocks like they slam down silver? This is why it is never good to just read their reports. For all you know, they could be buying while slamming it down, or vice versa - selling stocks (or secretly shorting) while promoting them.
     
  7. milled

    milled Active Member

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    WSS2018WorldS_D.png
    We can start by looking at the graph above. Reference below.
    https://www.silverinstitute.org/silver-supply-demand/

    That does not really help us as the silverinstitute figures record a net deficit between supply and demand for the ten years tabulated, though the spread is the smallest in 2017 and that may explain current price weakness.

    In short, the near future of silver likely lies in its electrochemical industrial applications, consumer electrical goods, with gains in the solar panel industry.

    Photovoltaic demand is up and there is no sign of slowing down. The one area that is down is *stackers*. Bar and bullion stackers had their third lowest level last year out of the last ten. The worst was in 2010 interestingly, right before the big run up in 2011. 2015 was the year of the stacker and this was when the price was quite low. Maybe the market is a bit jaded now.

    However, the future is likely in industrial electronics and demand is actually increasing. Photovoltaics is up about 40% on 6 years ago.

    Mine production is up and total supply stable, in contrast to all the snake oil from the silver newsletter shills. There is no sign of peak silver and really, there is no logic behind the idea, as demand will unleash technology to bring new supply to the market and use existing silver more efficiently. This is the nature of mankind.

    ETFs stocked up in 2012 and 2016, according to the graph. Interpretation would require more comprehension of the relevant issues for them than I have. One thing to notice is the big ETF build in 3 consecutive years before the price spike in 2011.

    So all up, stackers are not stacking according to this table, which is reflected in low spreads now, but solar panels are an increasing market share of the total demand, but not enough to offset the drop off.
     
  8. milled

    milled Active Member

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    another point of interest, scrap is right down, perhaps indicating that the current price of recovery is too high to scrap.
     
  9. sgbuyer

    sgbuyer Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    Interesting to see that the demand for coins and bars peaked in 2015 when silver prices were low, although premiums were higher than today (from my understanding). So stackers did not stop stacking immediately after prices plunged in 2012. The following year, demand for coins and bars plunged by 30% in 2016. What happened in 2016?
     
    Last edited: Dec 10, 2018
  10. Court Jester

    Court Jester Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    Bitcoin happened
     
  11. sgbuyer

    sgbuyer Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    Bitcoin is one of the reason, but Bitcoin didn't really catch on until 2017 so it appears to be a year earlier.

    All the pushers have gone over to cryptos. The remaining few silver diehards left have also given up on silver lately.

    In my opinion, cryptos are a legal minefield. How do we know the bids on the exchanges are real? How do we know the coins created are real? If there's fraud, anyone who sold through the exchanges even 1-2 years ago, if the transaction is not legitimate, the buyer may have legal avenues to garner the sales proceed from the seller.
     
  12. alor

    alor Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    http://www.xinhuanet.com/english/2018-12/08/c_137658537.htm
    Large silver deposit discovered in central China
    Source: Xinhua| 2018-12-08 08:26:10|Editor: Yang Yi

    ZHENGZHOU, Dec. 8 (Xinhua) -- Geologists in central China's Henan Province have discovered a large silver deposit with estimated reserves of at least 1,500 tonnes.

    Located in Luoning County, the deposit is part of the Zhonghe deposit area, which boasts 280,000 tonnes of lead and 320,000 tonnes of zinc, according to the Henan Bureau of Geo-exploration & Mineral Development.

    The find follows the discovery of a large silver deposit with reserves of 2,661 tonnes in the province's Tongbai County.
     
  13. JOHNLGALT

    JOHNLGALT Well-Known Member

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    The future of silver is a damn whole lot better than the $U.S & the Aus$.
     
    slavaja likes this.
  14. Krakked789

    Krakked789 Well-Known Member

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    Or

    It could dump to $5.
     
  15. sgbuyer

    sgbuyer Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    Silver production per year is only 1 billion ounces. At $5, it costs only $5 billion to buy all the silver that is produced, and $20 billion to buy all the silver that people are holding, assuming if everyone agrees to sell it for $5/oz.
     
  16. Krakked789

    Krakked789 Well-Known Member

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    True. I never said it was likely. But it IS possible.
     
  17. ZaidaBoBaida

    ZaidaBoBaida Member

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    Random dumb question: Apmex is making a big deal out of the fact that ASEs are sold out at the US Mint. Here's my question: So what? Won't they just strike more, or have they stuck the maximum amount they're allowed to do for the year?
     
  18. Ipv6Ready

    Ipv6Ready Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    Future of silver looks much like future of copper or iron.
    Plenty in the ground for anything man kind wants to do with it, it’s like it rare and need to save it.
     
    Last edited: Feb 25, 2019
  19. sgbuyer

    sgbuyer Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    Silver on it's own is not worth mining and is a by product of mining for base metals and gold. The world's biggest consumption of base metals goes into building loss making high speed trains projects in China and ghost towns, both of which are not sustainable in the long run. Once it is no longer possible finance these mega projects, to sustain jobs, the reverse will happen - demolishing unused buildings and recovering the scrap copper and iron in them.
     
    Last edited: Feb 23, 2019
  20. Ipv6Ready

    Ipv6Ready Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    Those ghost towns will be fully populated, either at premium like millions per apartment in Shenzen or at $1 per apartment.

    Shenzen was a ghost town, but now equal Seoul or Singapore for mid range apartment prizes.

    All those ghost town will be be full of people.

    The ghost town developers will fold out but eventually they need to pay back the loans. When it does... be it, USA, Australia, Singapore or China it is universal the liquidators sell to highest bidder.
     

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