Population Sustainability

Discussion in 'General Precious Metals Discussion' started by PrettyPrettyShinyShiny, Feb 11, 2013.

  1. PrettyPrettyShinyShiny

    PrettyPrettyShinyShiny Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Feb 20, 2011
    Messages:
    1,262
    Likes Received:
    60
    Trophy Points:
    48
    Location:
    NSW
    Australia's ability to continue to grow indefiitely IS hampered by the same factors that allow us to thrive - up to a point of course. Everyone is looking to invest for their FUTURE, but how far into the future do we care about? This is especially relevant for those that love a big family, because presumably you do care about the welfare and well being of your progeny or else you wouldn't have bothered having children in the first place, right?

    Most people know of Dick Smith and his mission to make population sustainability more of a discussion topic in politics and in the media, however, as his daughter put it, it is the elephant in the room. Everyone is talking about how science and technology will save us, if only we produce and consume more efficiently we will save the planet. Here is a link to his website:
    http://dicksmithpopulation.com/

    Here is Australia's population to the nearest 10 million (each 'I' represents 10 million people).

    II......?

    Where do we draw the line? Do we expect issues such as the ageing population of Australia, eventual depletion of resources, and other contentious issues such as the management of the Murray-Darling basin to become LESS contentious and problematic with MORE Australians?

    A question I have been thinking of is "Can economics based on production and consumption (the only economics the western world values) continue WITHOUT population growth?"
     
  2. mmm....shiney!

    mmm....shiney! Administrator Staff Member Silver Stacker

    Joined:
    Nov 15, 2010
    Messages:
    18,678
    Likes Received:
    4,439
    Trophy Points:
    113
    What other economic system is there? :)

    Perpetual growth is the flawed basis of our modern Western economies, it would probably be fair to say that perpetual population growth fits into that schema as well. Of course such a notion is just sheer stupidity, but it is often viewed as a necessary outcome if Australia is to secure it's future. Perpetual growth in markets and populations is required because we have perpetual growth in spending and perpetual decline in spending power. So if I can rephrase your question PPSS: ""Can economics based on perpetual growth (the only economics the western world values) continue WITHOUT population growth?" Answer: "No."
     
  3. Simba

    Simba Member

    Joined:
    Nov 26, 2011
    Messages:
    36
    Likes Received:
    0
    Trophy Points:
    6
    The world population is due to peak in 2015 according to demographers, 'Demographic Winter' http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lZeyYIsGdAA
    Apart from the interesting evidence shown in the film the relationship between GDP and Population growth in Japan is of particular interest, no population growth - no increase in GDP. Considering the needs of parents bringing up children the link is logical.
     
  4. Matthew 26:14

    Matthew 26:14 New Member

    Joined:
    Sep 3, 2010
    Messages:
    3,305
    Likes Received:
    1
    Trophy Points:
    0
    Location:
    Victoria
    Economic growth is dependent upon a growing number of consumers. Simple but not much different to a Ponzi Scheme.
     
  5. Dabloodymess

    Dabloodymess Active Member

    Joined:
    Jul 7, 2010
    Messages:
    1,347
    Likes Received:
    2
    Trophy Points:
    38
    Location:
    Russia
    While people still keep pushing for more more more there is going to be growth...

    I sincerely hope that in generations to come the idea of continuous consumption becomes less pronounced. The 'consumer' economy is really just a modern construct and only truly came into its own post WW2. I dont think it is naive to hope that it begins to fade away, although some may think this couldnt possibly occur!

    Even amongst myself and my circle of friends in the 20-30 year old age bracket I have seen a decline in rabid consumerism, so I havent lost hope. I am moving towards less consumption myself, simply because I have become sick of owning piles of useless 'stuff'. A minimalist lifestyle is my aim :)

    ramble complete....
     
  6. sammysilver

    sammysilver Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

    Joined:
    Apr 7, 2011
    Messages:
    7,971
    Likes Received:
    6,629
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Location:
    Sydney
    Have a look at "An Essay on the Principle of Population" Or a View of Its Past and Present Effects on Human Happiness; with an Inquiry Into Our Prospects Respecting the Future Removal or Mitigation of the Evils which It Occasions. This was written in 1798. So your problem is nothing new.


    Malthus, the author, is basically saying that as the world's population doubles, food production is only increasing marginally.

    Worth a read at http://ebooks.adelaide.edu.au/m/malthus/thomas/m26p/
     
  7. bordsilver

    bordsilver Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

    Joined:
    May 23, 2012
    Messages:
    8,717
    Likes Received:
    304
    Trophy Points:
    83
    Location:
    The rocks
    Exactly.
    Can economic growth per worker continue indefinitely?
    Absolutely. Will it? Possibly not.

    Can economic growth per person continue indefinitely?
    Absolutely. Will it? Probably not.
     
  8. Lovey80

    Lovey80 Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    May 9, 2011
    Messages:
    2,322
    Likes Received:
    94
    Trophy Points:
    63
    Location:
    Sunshine Coast, QLD
    Are you making that statement as a basis of pure fact, or are you just referring to how the system is running now?
     
  9. Silber

    Silber Member

    Joined:
    Oct 2, 2011
    Messages:
    141
    Likes Received:
    17
    Trophy Points:
    18
  10. Guest

    Guest Guest

    On a side note.. I'm sick to death of the popular notion that humans are like a cancer on the Earth, humans are bad etc. I'm not like cancer, anyone who thinks i'm like cancer can go to hell.
     
  11. Guest

    Guest Guest

    Its the way we live which is the problem, not the number of people.
     
  12. capt.sparrow

    capt.sparrow New Member

    Joined:
    Jun 3, 2011
    Messages:
    379
    Likes Received:
    0
    Trophy Points:
    0
    Location:
    U ASS
    humans are not the cancer - it's their governments that are...
     
  13. Guest

    Guest Guest

    Damn straight!
     
  14. Holdfast

    Holdfast Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

    Joined:
    Oct 15, 2009
    Messages:
    4,631
    Likes Received:
    1,127
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Location:
    Australia

    You have already been out in the sun! :p :D
     
  15. AngloSaxon

    AngloSaxon Active Member

    Joined:
    Oct 26, 2012
    Messages:
    1,779
    Likes Received:
    6
    Trophy Points:
    38
    Location:
    Sydney
    To mimic that skin cancer advertisement:

    "Taxing is human cells in trauma"

    But to be serious the anti-humans as I call them really get on my nerves. Always saying things like 'consume less' while neglecting to see that we as organisms need to consume to exist, like all life.

    All the Agenda 21 stuff you hear about that wants to establish 'wilderness zones' where no human will be allowed to go, regardless of what private property exists on that land or how sustainable agriculture has been for dozens if not hundreds of years on that soil. It's appalling. Especially when you look at national parks in dry climates of Australia - full of weeds and feral animals with declining or dying native vegetation and no visitors besides fox/pig shooters. And areas allowed to return to 'wilderness' in the US remain thickets choked with too many small trees and no opportunity for mature trees to break free of the short canopy and thrive. Or like was seen in the Yellowstone National Park in the last decade where humans reinvigorated an entire ecology - active intervention in reintroducing wolves was required to thin the deer which allowed trees to grow thereby felled by all important beavers whose dams changed the land from a bare grassland inhabited just by deer to a mixed woodland/marshland environment that used to exist there. If it was entirely unpopulated 'wilderness' the ecology would never recover. Ironic.

    This population sustainability thing began with The Silent Spring by Rachel Carson in 1962. No matter how much it is discredited, the ideas in it have taken off and evolved into an anti-human almost religious fervour.
     
  16. Guest

    Guest Guest

    What do you mean?
     
  17. Holdfast

    Holdfast Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

    Joined:
    Oct 15, 2009
    Messages:
    4,631
    Likes Received:
    1,127
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Location:
    Australia
    What religion are you?
     
  18. Guest

    Guest Guest

    I'm not any one religion...where are you going with this?
     
  19. alor

    alor Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

    Joined:
    Jun 16, 2011
    Messages:
    12,102
    Likes Received:
    3,877
    Trophy Points:
    113
    pre-flood populations, counting just the giants were about 500,000 Giants
    prior to reaching that number, those giants already eating each others.

    now we have humans numbered to http://www.worldometers.info/world-population/ 7,100,000,000 counting :)

    we can add 000,000 behind that number and there is no way for cannibalism yet
    horses are not counted :lol:
     
  20. Holdfast

    Holdfast Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

    Joined:
    Oct 15, 2009
    Messages:
    4,631
    Likes Received:
    1,127
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Location:
    Australia

    So which religion?
     

Share This Page