NRL Punting Thread

Discussion in 'Other Investments' started by BuggedOut, Feb 25, 2016.

  1. BuggedOut

    BuggedOut Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

    Joined:
    Jul 21, 2015
    Messages:
    2,552
    Likes Received:
    977
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Location:
    New South Wales
    Game 57 Result :-

    Souths +6.5 Handicap 1st Half : 1.5 unit @ 1.92 = -1.5
    Under 41.5 Match Points : 1.5 unit @ 1.93 = +1.395
    Souths Try 1st Scoring Play : 1 unit @ 4.00 = -1
    Brisbane -29.5 Match Handicap : 1 unit @ 6.25 = -1


    Game 57 Total = -2.105

    A bit better effort from Souths but still not good enough. They faded late in each half of football which is consistent with a team that is fatigued from being flogged at training by an increasingly desperate coach. :(
     
  2. BuggedOut

    BuggedOut Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

    Joined:
    Jul 21, 2015
    Messages:
    2,552
    Likes Received:
    977
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Location:
    New South Wales
    Game 58 - Bulldogs vs Titans

    Bulldogs / Bulldogs Halftime / Fulltime Double : 2 units @ 1.55
    Tony Williams To Score A Try : 1 unit @ 4.50
    Bulldogs -23.5 Match Handicap : 1 unit @ 4.90


    Game 59 - Canberra vs Tigers

    Tigers +7.5 Match Handicap : 2 units @ 1.90
    Joseph Leilua To Score A Try : 1.5 unit @ 2.75
    Josh Papalli To Score A Try : 1.5 unit @ 3.00
    Canberra / Tigers Halftime / Fulltime Double : 0.5 unit @ 10.50
     
  3. BuggedOut

    BuggedOut Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

    Joined:
    Jul 21, 2015
    Messages:
    2,552
    Likes Received:
    977
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Location:
    New South Wales
    Game 60 - Cowboys vs Parramatta

    Parramatta Under 14.5 Match Points : 2 units @ 1.87
    Cowboys -8.5 Match Handicap : 2 units @ 1.93
    Cowboys Penalty 1st Scoring Play : 0.5 unit @ 7.50
    Kyle Feldt 1st Tryscorer : 0.5 unit @ 10.00
    Kyle Feldt 1st Tryscorer 2nd Half : 0.5 unit @ 10.00
     
  4. BuggedOut

    BuggedOut Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

    Joined:
    Jul 21, 2015
    Messages:
    2,552
    Likes Received:
    977
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Location:
    New South Wales
    Game 58 Result :-

    Bulldogs / Bulldogs Halftime / Fulltime Double : 2 units @ 1.55 = -2
    Tony Williams To Score A Try : 1 unit @ 4.50 = -1
    Bulldogs -23.5 Match Handicap : 1 unit @ 4.90 = -1


    Game 58 Total = -4 units

    Not happy Jan!! I normally don't take short odds but this one should have been a lock. :mad:


    Game 59 Result :-

    Tigers +7.5 Match Handicap : 2 units @ 1.90 = -2
    Joseph Leilua To Score A Try : 1.5 unit @ 2.75 = +2.625
    Josh Papalli To Score A Try : 1.5 unit @ 3.00 = -1.5
    Canberra / Tigers Halftime / Fulltime Double : 0.5 unit @ 10.50 = -0.5


    Game 59 Total = -1.375 units

    Lots of Canberra tries. Both starting props and the *other* 2nd rower score....but not Papalli. Leilua scores twice. :(


    Game 60 Result :-

    Parramatta Under 14.5 Match Points : 2 units @ 1.87 = -2
    Cowboys -8.5 Match Handicap : 2 units @ 1.93 = +1.86
    Cowboys Penalty 1st Scoring Play : 0.5 unit @ 7.50 = -0.5
    Kyle Feldt 1st Tryscorer : 0.5 unit @ 10.00 = -0.5
    Kyle Feldt 1st Tryscorer 2nd Half : 0.5 unit @ 10.00 -0.5


    Game 60 Total = -1.64 units

    Good game, a lot closer than the final score suggests. Not a good day for me tho. :(
     
  5. BuggedOut

    BuggedOut Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

    Joined:
    Jul 21, 2015
    Messages:
    2,552
    Likes Received:
    977
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Location:
    New South Wales
    Game 61 - Sharks vs Penrith

    Over 38.5 Match Points : 5 units @ 2.00
     
  6. BuggedOut

    BuggedOut Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

    Joined:
    Jul 21, 2015
    Messages:
    2,552
    Likes Received:
    977
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Location:
    New South Wales
    Game 61 Result :-

    Over 38.5 Match Points : 5 units @ 2.00 = -5

    Game 61 Total = -5 units

    This was a great bet on 2 teams who played open attacking footy in great conditions. I am absolutely gutted to miss it by half a point. FOUR shots on goal were missed!! :mad:
     
  7. BuggedOut

    BuggedOut Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

    Joined:
    Jul 21, 2015
    Messages:
    2,552
    Likes Received:
    977
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Location:
    New South Wales
    Game 62 - Newcastle vs Manly

    Manly Under 23.5 Match Points : 2 units @ 2.05
    Newcastle Win Match : 1.5 units @ 3.00
    Halftime OR Fulltime Draw : 0.5 unit @ 10.00
     
  8. BuggedOut

    BuggedOut Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

    Joined:
    Jul 21, 2015
    Messages:
    2,552
    Likes Received:
    977
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Location:
    New South Wales
    Game 63 - Dragons vs Roosters

    Under 36 Match Points : 2 units @ 1.95
    Tribet - Either Team 0-6 : 1 unit @ 2.90
    Halftime OR Fulltime Draw : 0.5 unit @ 9.00
    Shaun Kenny-Dowall 1st Tryscorer : 0.5 unit @ 10.00
     
  9. BuggedOut

    BuggedOut Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

    Joined:
    Jul 21, 2015
    Messages:
    2,552
    Likes Received:
    977
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Location:
    New South Wales
    Game 64 - Melbourne vs Warriors

    NO BET - On tilt. Need a drink.
     
  10. BuggedOut

    BuggedOut Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

    Joined:
    Jul 21, 2015
    Messages:
    2,552
    Likes Received:
    977
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Location:
    New South Wales
    Game 62 Result :-

    Manly Under 23.5 Match Points : 2 units @ 2.05 = -2
    Newcastle Win Match : 1.5 units @ 3.00 = -1.5
    Halftime OR Fulltime Draw : 0.5 unit @ 10.00 = -0.5


    Game 62 Total = -4 units

    Another ordinary game. Newcastle started well but faded. :(


    Game 63 Result :-

    Under 36 Match Points : 2 units @ 1.95 = -2
    Tribet - Either Team 0-6 : 1 unit @ 2.90 = +1.9
    Halftime OR Fulltime Draw : 0.5 unit @ 9.00 = -0.5
    Shaun Kenny-Dowall 1st Tryscorer : 0.5 unit @ 10.00 = -0.5


    Game 63 Total = -1.1 units

    Wasn't far off here, but enough to make it another loss. :(
     
  11. BuggedOut

    BuggedOut Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

    Joined:
    Jul 21, 2015
    Messages:
    2,552
    Likes Received:
    977
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Location:
    New South Wales
    Round 8 Summary :-


    Brisbane vs Souths = -2.105
    Bulldogs vs Titans = -4
    Canberra vs Tigers = -1.375
    Cowboys vs Parramatta = -1.64
    Sharks vs Penrith = -5
    Newcastle vs Manly = -4
    Dragons vs Roosters = -1.1

    Melbourne vs Warriors = +0

    NRL Round 8 Total = -19.22 units

    Total Units Bet = 33.0
    Return On Investment (ROI) = -58.2%

    Bets Won / Placed = 4/24
    Strike Rate (SR) = 16.7%

    I backed up my first losing week for the year with the worst losing week I've had since I started keeping records....and that's been a while! I am kicking myself a bit because I acknowledged last week that I was stretching my early season strategies a bit too far and clearly I have paid severely for it this week. I am still a bit surprised because we haven't really gotten into the Origin Phase of the competition yet, but clearly I need to go back to the drawing board and figure out whats going wrong.

    As it turns out it's the sensible time for me to pull up stumps.

    Good luck with your punting people and thanks for following the thread.
     
  12. BuggedOut

    BuggedOut Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

    Joined:
    Jul 21, 2015
    Messages:
    2,552
    Likes Received:
    977
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Location:
    New South Wales
    Summary of Rounds 1-8 :-

    Round 1 = +26.93
    Round 2 = +11.09
    Round 3 = +16.185
    Round 4 = +10.045
    Round 5 = +10.645
    Round 6 = +24.73

    Round 7 = -1.23
    Round 8 = -19.22


    Total of Rounds 1-8 = +79.175 units

    *Excludes Futures betting profits
     
  13. TeaPot&ChopSticks

    TeaPot&ChopSticks New Member

    Joined:
    Apr 17, 2012
    Messages:
    266
    Likes Received:
    0
    Trophy Points:
    0
    Hi BuggedOut. Do you follow "The Mole" on twitter? He has picked the last two games try scorers on twitter. Talk about Jerry Maguire ! Missed out on this Round BuggedOut.
    Have to wait till the next round ! Come On Guys, No body else contributing to this thread. Special thanks to BuggedOut for these posts.

    TP&CS.
     
  14. errol43

    errol43 New Member Silver Stacker

    Joined:
    Apr 13, 2010
    Messages:
    5,993
    Likes Received:
    15
    Trophy Points:
    3
    Location:
    Bundaberg
    No help this year at all,,70000 in tipping competition... Current position 53000...Has a bad period when I lost several picks by golden point or a late penalty or try.

    A few years ago I came 7th...In the closing rounds I had to pick a few long shot in an effort to pull in the leader...I tell you thats mighty hard to do.

    Regards Errol 43
     
  15. BuggedOut

    BuggedOut Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

    Joined:
    Jul 21, 2015
    Messages:
    2,552
    Likes Received:
    977
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Location:
    New South Wales
    Futures Update

    I just cashed out my futures bet on the Melbourne Storm. Cooper Cronk has a dodgy ankle and with Origin period starting this week the risk of a major injury to another key player is significant. Origin period has typically been difficult for the Melbourne Storm.

    So my futures bet on Melbourne now results as :-

    Melbourne Storm to Make The Top 4 : 20 units @ 3.25 (CASHED OUT @ 1.32) = +29.27 units
     

Share This Page