Long Term Gold Price Target Below US$800

Discussion in 'Gold' started by leon1998, Dec 18, 2016.

  1. Peter

    Peter Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jul 28, 2009
    Messages:
    2,634
    Likes Received:
    119
    Trophy Points:
    63
    Location:
    sydney
    My long term gold prediction
    $3000 US.
    Why?

    Economic chaos.
     
  2. SpacePete

    SpacePete Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

    Joined:
    Mar 1, 2014
    Messages:
    12,433
    Likes Received:
    40
    Trophy Points:
    48
    That could translate into several thousand AUD, but the factors that would contribute to an AUD and tax base collapse will also likely motivate the government to outlaw private gold holdings outside of approved and audited depository institutions, and of course there'd be a significant per ounce compliance fee, a government levy and owner certification requirements that would prove onerous and result in forfeiture for non compliance.

    We may say that is idiotic, but you have to think like a politician.
     
  3. Peter

    Peter Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jul 28, 2009
    Messages:
    2,634
    Likes Received:
    119
    Trophy Points:
    63
    Location:
    sydney
    Well the liberal party would never do that because the poor generally don't have stashs of gold under the bed, the rich do if anyone.
    And they are just a front for rich interests (reduce tax on business, reduce wages, reduce conditions,etc).
     
  4. SpacePete

    SpacePete Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

    Joined:
    Mar 1, 2014
    Messages:
    12,433
    Likes Received:
    40
    Trophy Points:
    48
    The extremely wealthy will structure their investments to largely avoid any impact. Unsupervised gold transactions are a threat to the government's desire for total oversight and control of the financial activities of citizens. But any coordinated plan will anyway fall by the wayside in coming years as the politicians desperately scramble for any last scraps of wealth from the people to make up for a collapse in revenue. Total economic collapse will not be pretty.
     
  5. Peter

    Peter Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jul 28, 2009
    Messages:
    2,634
    Likes Received:
    119
    Trophy Points:
    63
    Location:
    sydney
    How much gold is in reachable private hands anyway?
    What percentage of people hold gold.1%,2%?
    Not worth it.

    Much easier to temporarily take all the super , of course, only until conditions improve.

    But still insist that its the rich and powerful who would resist gold interference , and they always win.
     
  6. leon1998

    leon1998 Member

    Joined:
    Nov 26, 2014
    Messages:
    690
    Likes Received:
    4
    Trophy Points:
    18
    Location:
    United States
    US$1,050 is the short-term target.

    There will be some fight at US$1,000 line; but that will break down as well.

    US$900 by the middle of 2017.
     
  7. Peter

    Peter Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jul 28, 2009
    Messages:
    2,634
    Likes Received:
    119
    Trophy Points:
    63
    Location:
    sydney
    How do you know?
     
  8. leon1998

    leon1998 Member

    Joined:
    Nov 26, 2014
    Messages:
    690
    Likes Received:
    4
    Trophy Points:
    18
    Location:
    United States
    Gold-to-Silver-Ratio is at historic high; but gold price isn't.

    Gold-to-Crude-Ratio is at historic high; but gold price isn't.

    Goldbugs-to-Member-Ratio is at historic high; but gold price isn't. :lol:

     
  9. Peter

    Peter Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jul 28, 2009
    Messages:
    2,634
    Likes Received:
    119
    Trophy Points:
    63
    Location:
    sydney
    After my many failed predictions, I'd rather play
    "Pin the tail on the donkey"
    I'd have a better chance"
     

Share This Page