'Christmas' Bitcoin-Price-Guessing Comp

Discussion in 'Digital Currencies' started by inmizu, Sep 27, 2024.

  1. inmizu

    inmizu Active Member

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    This is a heads-up, campers. You can offer me advice.

    Shall we have the 'Christmas' comp between, say, mid-September and about November tenth? It's the U.S. electioin -- Trump pro-Bitcoin; Harris anti-Bitcoin -- that will be the event of the year.

    And certainly us crypto geeks are watch gold hitting noo ATH's!

    I don't think you need to be any sort of alarmist/Konspiracee Theorist to foresee all manner of potential craziness.

    IndiaMikeZulu
     
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  2. inmizu

    inmizu Active Member

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    Okay. I will be back in mid-September.

    We're gonna do it sorta sudden death this year: There will be fewer entrants. But I suspect that people will want to change their Guesses more than usual
     
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  3. mmm....shiney!

    mmm....shiney! Administrator Staff Member Silver Stacker

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    USD 77 843

    Locking this in.
     
  4. Polar.bear.Stacker

    Polar.bear.Stacker Well-Known Member

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    100k usd merry Christmas
     
  5. ermat

    ermat Member

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    Say Trump wins the election, Do you think a Trump win will actually strengthen BC long term ?
     
  6. inmizu

    inmizu Active Member

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  7. mmm....shiney!

    mmm....shiney! Administrator Staff Member Silver Stacker

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    Will a Trump win strengthen anything? :D

    I'm of the opinion that this is bluster to some extent. Mining aside, I don't see any benefit in Treasury holding any BTC unless it's goal is to push the price higher by withholding assets from the market.
     
  8. barneyrubble

    barneyrubble Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    Trumps own back pocket.

    Also, 88500 for my guesstimate.
     
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  9. Wiowi

    Wiowi Member Silver Stacker

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    Charlie and Warren reckon(ed) cryptocurrency is shite. Maybe they were (are) right, so I say highest BTC value on Christmas Day will be USD 60,321.48.
     
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  10. inmizu

    inmizu Active Member

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    Barney rubble -- you're in.

    Wiowi -- I have recorded your price. But this year it's not a Christmas guess. This year the Comp ends on November 10 -- just after the U.S. election. Please feel free to change your Guess
     
  11. inmizu

    inmizu Active Member

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    This year’s Bitcoin-Price-Guessing Competition officially has begun. But it ends on November 10th (here in my farmhouse in Western Australia). You can change your Guess up to Nov. 1st. Go!


    Mmmm shiney $77,843

    Polar Bear Stacker $100,000

    Barneyrubble $88500

    Wiowi $60.321.48

    Falling Knife: $76,001
     
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  12. Polar.bear.Stacker

    Polar.bear.Stacker Well-Known Member

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    If it's November 10, I'll change mine to $88,888 USD
     
  13. Azure

    Azure Active Member Silver Stacker

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    Nov 10...
    $59,380

    I'm going to go bearish on this one.
    I recon a small drop will make people take stock and some long term holders might take profits off the table in advance for christmas.

    1% below 60k seems like a buy in though for the believers.
     
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  14. mmm....shiney!

    mmm....shiney! Administrator Staff Member Silver Stacker

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    Oops, I thought it closed on Nov 10 but ended Dec 25 so I'll unlock mine:

    Dec 25: $77843
    Nov 10: $70340
     
  15. Wiowi

    Wiowi Member Silver Stacker

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    November 10......USD 60,321.48
     
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  16. inmizu

    inmizu Active Member

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    You're in: Nov. 10 for 70,340 -- no Christmas Day Guesses this year.

    And I fear, bullion bugs, that this will be the last year. Crypto threads have become sparsely-populated and unhappy places, completely different to 2013 and 2014.

    This is a sort of victory for bullion enthusiasts. Certainly I no longer advise folks to adopt cryptos. I advise them to buy silver.
     
    Last edited: Oct 7, 2024
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  17. mmm....shiney!

    mmm....shiney! Administrator Staff Member Silver Stacker

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    My advice:

    Up to 45 years of age maximise good debt.

    Beyond 45 maximise passive income.

    Crypo and bullion fit neither of those strategies, they're fringe investments that should make up only a small % of your portfolio. :)
     
  18. inmizu

    inmizu Active Member

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    This may be good advice for Normal Times, shiney -- good morning.

    But I've not the least doubt that 'the system' is collapsing. What sounded Overwrought Old Guy a few years ago is now clearly a reality.

    Mmmm shiney $70,340

    Polar Bear Stacker $100,000

    Barneyrubble $88500

    Wiowi $60.321.48

    Falling Knife: $76,001

    TheHatter $69,015

    Selfwithin $69,000

    JeffBouchard $99.999
     
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  19. mmm....shiney!

    mmm....shiney! Administrator Staff Member Silver Stacker

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    The chances of that happening are minuscule, though Russia et al are trying their best to crash it because their leaders are short-sighted megalomaniacs, it just goes historically with the territory unfortunately.

    The "system" is backstopped by the world's major Treasuries and reserve banks. The winners are the capital sector the losers are the middle and lower class. If the system collapses then all the gold and silver or BTC in the world won't save anyone, we'll either all be dead or scrambling for food and water and gold and crypto will be worthless. In the meantime for us at the bottom of the food chain our best hope is to copy what the capitalists are doing ie use good debt, set up passive income streams and hedge see What's a safe investment for generating income?

    Much discussion on the "ponzi" here:

     
  20. inmizu

    inmizu Active Member

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    'If the system collapses then all the gold and silver or BTC in the world won't save anyone, we'll either all be dead or scrambling for food and water and gold and crypto will be worthless.'

    Well, land with water is high on my list. Systems don't collapse outright. They can half collapse or three quarters collapse.

    I think small bits of silver, like the 1966 50-cent pieces, might be good for barter.

    But yes, shiney, I think this system will/is falling to bits at the seams.

    sigh
     
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