I'm not saying it will happen, but I'm not not saying it won't happen. A rallying bond market should be positive for the precious metals and negative for the share market. It also supports a friend of a friend's dogs theory that gold will be $1500 by the end of the year or maybe early next year.
For the month of October atleast, I think there are more headwinds than tailwinds for gold and a sell off is more likely. Gold COT and seasonality doesn't look crash hot. Junior and major minors look weaker than the metals. AUD doesn't look crash hot, kiwi is looking stronger than AUD.
Could be a good place to put this...... Keiser Report: Credit Market Crash? (1141) Max and Stacy discuss what it looks like when credit markets go nuts as the ECB’s monster bond bubble drives euro junk bonds lower than US Treasuries. Max interviews Michael Pento of PentoPort.com about the latest in market euphoria. Will it crash? And, if so, when?
I would have thought gold would have tanked abit more by now, was expecting a deeper move down like AUD. I wouldn't be touching silver longs but it does look like US 10YR, 5YR and 2YR futures are going to bounce and start rallying
A correlation I like looking at is gold with yen, USDJPY looks like its going to keep tanking (yen strength). Gold is entering a time seasonally right now in november where it tends to put in a bottom and bounce, plus I'm starting to see some bullish price action on gold 4 hour charts
This is what happened in 1929 when the TRUSTS* (*read ETF’s) collapsed back to a small base and wiped out just about everything else during the unwind. If you thought The Great Depression was bad, you ain’t seen nothing yet. For anyone reading the article on Zero Hedge click on the charts to read them more clearly. It has ‘All Rights Reserved’ on it though. by EconMatters Fri, 06/01/2018 PANIC MONDAY?? https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-06-01/most-overcrowded-bubble-market-trade