Trump will win the next election and then in 2024 it will be the Democrats because the demographics point that way. Republicans will never get back after that, so hope will keep USA together until at least 2032 when the inevitability of an urban democrat vote forever will sink in. The ideological base that broke up the Soviet Union isn't there in USA. The government and economy is at a war standing and so it has the means to squash any dissent. It's fantasy to think that any number of M16 caches could win a drone /economic war. There'll be no Alamo, or Redoubt secession. The Empire is at its greatest strength so it won't release any of its prizes.