Aussie dollar to drop below 66c - "benign" collapse ahead

Discussion in 'Currencies' started by SpacePete, Sep 11, 2014.

  1. SovereignBuyerMelbourne

    SovereignBuyerMelbourne Member

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  2. SovereignBuyerMelbourne

    SovereignBuyerMelbourne Member

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    The US jobs numbers for November will be released tomorrow US time, based on how impressive/unimpressive the figures are the AUD could shoot down or up briefly.
     
  3. boston

    boston Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    The real question is, how many of Victoria's dairy farms are actually owned by Australians vs China? My understanding is that China owns quite a few.

    Perhaps Iceblue can chime in on this one.
     
  4. Caput Lupinum

    Caput Lupinum Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    I don't put timeframes on things but 80 cents has been a long term target for a while. 80 cents has also previously been a point where there's been breakouts in the past. At 80 cents this would put the USD index at roughly the 90 level which is also a major target. All you can do then is head to the sidelines and wait to see which direction to looks likely to head in. My gut says lower just based on the overall health of the global economy but I'll need confirmation before deciding what I'll do.
     
  5. Eureka Moments

    Eureka Moments Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    China owns 2 and Canada owns the other one.
     
  6. SovereignBuyerMelbourne

    SovereignBuyerMelbourne Member

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    I don't know, I do know however that Chinese Investment in Australia accounts for 3.3% of total foreign investment.

    Of that 3% mining accounts for 73%, oil and gas 18%, renewable energy is 4% whilst agriculture and Real estate is 5%

    Australia's biggest investors are America followed by Britain.
     
  7. Peter

    Peter Well-Known Member

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    If other currencies are falling against the US dollar also, then this is of less importance.
    And I think they are.
    Means that the US dollars is rising against other curriencies.?
     
  8. Revils

    Revils Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    I follow the EUR/AUD very closely, and while recently the AUD has fallen against the Euro there hasn't been any significant drop like with the USD. (-2.82% compared with -4.17%)

    I'm saving for a large purchase in Euros - watching the exchange rates is worse than watching the silver spot price.
     
  9. Peter

    Peter Well-Known Member

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    Average weekly BID rates @ +/- 0%

    USD / EUR

    USD / AUD

    USD / CAD

    USD / GBP
    Period Average 0.7469 1.1009 1.0972 0.6046
    Period High 0.8034 1.1664 1.135

    Over last year shows these magor currencies are falling against USD
    I.e.
    US is rising.
     
  10. Holdfast

    Holdfast Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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  11. bordsilver

    bordsilver Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    ^ Well, eventually it has :/
     
  12. SovereignBuyerMelbourne

    SovereignBuyerMelbourne Member

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  13. dollars

    dollars Active Member Silver Stacker

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    " With regard to other major currencies, their central bankers have all tried very hard to talk them down. In Australia, barely a day appears to go by without some official saying the Aussie is overvalued. How much jawboning can the markets take? The Aussie's fate will ultimately depend on how China is doing, not words of policy makers. "

    rest of article @ http://www.merkinvestments.com/insights/2014/2014-12-04.php
     
  14. SpacePete

    SpacePete Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    The AUD is going down faster than a....?

    [​IMG]
     
  15. whinfell

    whinfell Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    On a positive note, it's not dropping as fast as the rouble! :lol:
     
  16. thatguy

    thatguy Active Member

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    Isn't it a race to the bottom... Russia's winning :D thier economy should be booming :|
     
  17. Silver91

    Silver91 Member

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    so being completely new to this, where would one be able to purchase USD..the local changer will have too big margins i think..any other ways? either physical or online..
     
  18. billybob888

    billybob888 Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    politician/media are so full of it.

    On the one hand they say weaker currency will boost the economy by making the exports cheaper and on the other hand they say Russia is hurting from weaker Ruble.

    They cant even be consistent with their lies, but unfortunately their lack of logic/ intelligence/ honesty is enough to fool vast majority of people
     
  19. JulieW

    JulieW Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    Today I watched television for the first time in many months. It seems to me that the drivel transmitted is suited to the equivalent of 10 year olds. This is the electorate. I'm not surprised at the fairy tales that are told.
     
  20. SilverDJ

    SilverDJ Well-Known Member

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    [​IMG]
    Source: http://www.tylervigen.com/
     

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