The FX market is even more non-predictable than gold and silver paper/commodity markets. As with everything else in the last decade, the only thing currency pairs readily and predictably react to is central bank intervention. Between Jun to Oct 2008, AUDUSD went from 0.97 (Jun) to 0.61 (Nov). See for yourself https://www.google.com/finance?q=AUDUSD&ei=m6z5UeDuJIrZkAW7_QE All the paid FX pundits are two-armed bandits, because they always say 'on the other hand...this is why it could go the other way'. Never let themselves be tied down as wrong.