only 1701... !? c'arn we can do better than that... fair enuf AUD is droppin for now but in relation to all the 'other things' going on.. SHTF of an outlook for lumps of iron rock but the voodoo of carry currencies? AUD, CAD etc.. ina world of hurt, we are smal fry, but against EUR USD etc probs isnt 3+%, 3+% for now? and from my 'tunnel vision' outlook, for now, short term, we have the advantage of the buffer.. not a critical analysis, just an open question to all..
There are quite allot more variables, I noticed when the ECB announced their new bond buying program overnight industrial commodity's climbed as did the AUD again overnight. This intervention by the ECB really put's Australia in a position where the economy can slow but the AUD may remain high.
support @1685? Am putting in a couple of small longs with tight stops... hope I do not get stopped out... to much red lately
Yes, I'm holding out at the moment. But ya gotta love the AUD don't you? Will we see sub AU$1620 before trading closes tonight?
I'm convinced I have a pretty good idea of what will happen long term. Muffed if I could make a decent decision in the short term though. :lol:
That's the difference between possessing insight, or a rational understanding of the current economic climate and the direction it is heading, as opposed to being able to read tea leaves. I'm with you in the first category. I'm waiting to buy some sub AUD1620, then I'll hold out for a further drop in the next week or so, or I'll just pull the trigger and buy mid 1600's. I'm expecting the AUD to bounce back off it's recent low because of all the "good" economic news in the media over the past 10 days. I'm also hoping this should push gold south a little as well because I believe the gold price and the USD are like two toddlers in a sand pit, they have fun but do not get on with each other at a social level so hopefully I can save a bit. So far the AUD is cooperating but the price of gold in USD is not. It's been a $100US increase/oz in the past 3 weeks. That adds up.
@ Shiney and Other Gold investors. Is there a general view that Gold will stay above $1500/oz over the next year ?
I assume you are referring to USD and I believe there is. The indicators in my opinion are more in favour of a price rise than a fall back. But, then all scenarios are possible aren't they?
Isn't that backwards? Low jobs means the economy isn't recovering as fast as expected, higher likelihood of more QE.