Miami +7.5 @1.97 [colour=red]Lost -1 stake [/colour] Player Props: Indianapolis Colts At Jacksonville Jaguars Player A Total Tackles + Assists D'Qwell Jackson Under (8.5) @ 1.87 5 stakes [colour=green]WIN +9.35 Stakes[/colour] Carolina Panthers At Atlanta Falcons Player A Total Tackles + Assists Luke Kuechly Over (8.5) @1.87 5 stakes [colour=green]WIN +9.35 Stakes[/colour] 2 leg Multi 2.5 stakes [colour=green]WIN +8.742 Stakes[/colour] Total Stakes Wagered 13.5 Total Stakes returned 27.44 For a profit of [colour=green]+13.94 Stakes[/colour]
Crown Bet Carolina Panthers @ Atlanta Falcons X2 Stakes [colour=red] Lost -2 stakes [/colour] Julio Jones Receiving Yards O/U Under 90.5 @ $1.88 Carolina Panthers @ Atlanta Falcons X2 Stakes [colour=red] Lost -2 stakes [/colour] Cam Newton Passing Yards O/U Over 252.5 @ $1.75 Seattle Seahawks @ New York Jets [colour=red] Lost -1 stakes [/colour] Matt Forte Rushing Yards O/U Over 64.5 @ $1.88 $10.00 Detroit Lions @ Chicago Bears X2 Stakes [colour=red] Lost -2 stakes [/colour] Matthew Stafford Passing Yards O/U Over 280.5 @ $1.88 Cleveland Browns @ Washington Redskins X2 stakes [colour=red] Lost -2 stakes [/colour] Kirk Cousins Passing Yards O/U Over 285.5 @ $1.88 Oakland Raiders @ Baltimore Ravens [colour=grey] VOID [/colour] Justin Forsett Rushing Yards O/U Under 42.5 @ $1.88 Sports Bet Buffalo Bills At New England Patriots [colour=green] Win +1.87 Stakes [/colour] Player A Total Tackles + Assists Corey Graham Under (6.5) @ 1.87 2h 33m Kansas City Chiefs At Pittsburgh Steelers [colour=green] Win +1.87 Stakes [/colour] Player F Total Receiving Yards Sammie Coates Over (38.5) @ 1.87 Denver Broncos At Tampa Bay Buccaneers [colour=green] Win +1.87 Stakes [/colour] Player B Total Passing Yards Jameis Winston Under (242.5) @ 1.87 Total 12 stakes wagered, 5.61 Stakes returned for a [colour=red] Net loss of -6.39 stakes [/colour]
Alright guys, thanks for following so far! I have been continuing to review footage, and revise my stat books as well as implementing new systems I have been working on. This week was a bit funny as I lost every bet on Crown and Won every bet on Sports bet! Overall a profitable week however here is the monthly summary Week 1- Loss -0.58 Units Week 2- Profit +6.135 Units Week 3- Loss -8.213 Units Week 4- Profit +7.55 Units 1st Month= Profit +4.89 Units I had a slip in Week three where I actually had almost 50 stakes laid out where I have originally said to split into 40 stakes so will Try to avoid that in the future. Also working on some New Models that hopefully will help me back up some Stats but Gee I can't believe Detroit losing to Chicago. Chicago missing the Starting QB, RB, TE, Star LB and Safety with Detroit owning them statistically and Stafford dominating them the last two meets. Didn't see that one coming at all.... I will keep going and still plenty of time left in the season and starting to get a better overall view of the teams!
Good work. I sometimes find that I win with some books and lose with others on certain sports. It can actually help you to be aware of that because some bookies are consistently better than others at pricing certain sports and if you know that, you can use pricing of sharper bookies as an input to your analysis (if that makes sense) to avoid losses and adjust stakes
Only 1 bet for tomorrow: Sports Bet: Arizona Cardinals At San Francisco 49ers Player A Total Rushing + Receiving Yds David Johnson Over (128.5) @ 1.87 1 Stake I don't normally explain my bets as I don't always have the time but some insight into why i picked this. So far this year DJ has these all purpose yds: Game 1:132 Game 2:143 Game 3:111 Game 4:124 Well statistically its 50/50 Carson Palmer (Arizona's Quarter back is out) and his back up tends to throw a lot of interceptions, Therefore they should be running the ball or using quick screens a lot more then they have been. On top of that San Francisco's Defence is missing Navorro Bowman (Inside linebacker). When he went down, San fran went from leading the game to letting Dallas run all over them. He would also be the one defending the quick screen which should mean a few extra meters for DJ. So good luck tomorrow and hopefully we Smash it out! Also get on before Monday is Philadelphia Eagles At Detroit Lions Big Win Little Win Philadelphia Eagles 14+ Pts @ 6.20 1 stake Chicago actually dominated Detroit despite missing key players in important positions and right now Phili is a much better team then Chicago on both sides of the ball. They have won there last three games by 19,15 and 31 as well as coming off the bye week which gave them extra time to rest and prepare! Will be more for next week, will update Sunday once the markets come out!
Great start to the week, DJ actually had his highest total today putting up 157yds in Rushing alone! He had another 28yds in receiving for a grand total of 185yds! Sports Bet: Arizona Cardinals At San Francisco 49ers Player A Total Rushing + Receiving Yds David Johnson Over (128.5) @ 1.87 1 Stake [colour=green]WIN 1.87 Stakes [/colour]
Unfortunately I didn't get on, but I did note that your analysis was very good this morning. You are thinking like a pro and that's a well deserved win.
Sports Bet Tampa Bay Buccaneers At Carolina Panthers Player B Total Tackles + Assists Luke Kuechly Over (8.5) @ 1.87 x2 Stakes New York Giants At Green Bay Packers Player B Total Passing Yards Aaron Rodgers Under (265.5) @ 1.87 Tennessee Titans At Miami Dolphins Player A Total Rushing Yards DeMarco Murray Over (80.5) @ 1.87 X2 Stakes Tennessee Titans At Miami Dolphins Player B Total Tackles + Assists Kiko Alonso Over (8.0) @ 1.82 Atlanta Falcons At Denver Broncos Player A Total Passing Yards Matt Ryan Under (256.5) @ 1.87 x2 Stakes Cincinnati Bengals At Dallas Cowboys Player A Total Passing Yards Andy Dalton Over (274.5) @ 1.87 Cincinnati Bengals At Dallas Cowboys Player B Total Passing Yards Dak Prescott Over (230.5) @ 1.87 Cincinnati Bengals At Dallas Cowboys Player B Total Rushing Yards Ezekiel Elliott Over (80.5) @ 1.87 San Diego Chargers At Oakland Raiders Player B Total Tackles + Assists Khalil Mack Under (7.5) @ 1.78 Chicago Bears At Indianapolis Colts Player A Total Passing Yards Brian Hoyer Over (260.5) @ 1.87 x2 Stakes Chicago Bears At Indianapolis Colts Player A Total Tackles + Assists D'Qwell Jackson Under (7.5) @ 1.87 Houston Texans At Minnesota Vikings Player A Total Receiving Yards DeAndre Hopkins Under (74.5) @ 1.87 x2 Stakes Philadelphia Eagles At Detroit Lions Player A Total Pass Completions Carson Wentz Over (18.5) @ 1.87 X2 Stakes New York Jets At Pittsburgh Steelers Player E Total Receiving Yards Sammie Coates Over (42.5) @ 1.87 X2 Stakes New England Patriots At Cleveland Browns Player B Total Rushing Yards Isaiah Crowell Over (68.5) @ 1.87 All H2H MIN, DEN, PHI, PIT Multi @ 3.75 x3 Stakes
Philadelphia Eagles At Detroit Lions Big Win Little Win Philadelphia Eagles 14+ Pts @ 6.20 1 stake [colour=red] Lost 1 Stake [/colour] Tampa Bay Buccaneers At Carolina Panthers Player B Total Tackles + Assists Luke Kuechly Over (8.5) @ 1.87 x2 Stakes [colour=green] Win 3.74 Stakes [/colour] New York Giants At Green Bay Packers Player B Total Passing Yards Aaron Rodgers Under (265.5) @ 1.87 [colour=green] Win 1.87 Stakes [/colour] Tennessee Titans At Miami Dolphins Player A Total Rushing Yards DeMarco Murray Over (80.5) @ 1.87 X2 Stakes [colour=green] Win 3.74 Stakes [/colour] Tennessee Titans At Miami Dolphins Player B Total Tackles + Assists Kiko Alonso Over (8.0) @ 1.82 [colour=green] Win 1.87 Stakes [/colour] Atlanta Falcons At Denver Broncos Player A Total Passing Yards Matt Ryan Under (256.5) @ 1.87 x2 Stakes [colour=red] Lost 2 Stakes [/colour] Cincinnati Bengals At Dallas Cowboys Player A Total Passing Yards Andy Dalton Over (274.5) @ 1.87 [colour=red] Lost 1 Stake [/colour] Cincinnati Bengals At Dallas Cowboys Player B Total Passing Yards Dak Prescott Over (230.5) @ 1.87 [colour=red] Lost 1 Stake [/colour] Cincinnati Bengals At Dallas Cowboys [colour=green] Win 1.87 Stakes [/colour] Player B Total Rushing Yards Ezekiel Elliott Over (80.5) @ 1.87 San Diego Chargers At Oakland Raiders [colour=green] Win 1.87 Stakes [/colour] Player B Total Tackles + Assists Khalil Mack Under (7.5) @ 1.78 Chicago Bears At Indianapolis Colts Player A Total Passing Yards Brian Hoyer Over (260.5) @ 1.87 x2 Stakes [colour=green] Win 3.74 Stakes [/colour] Chicago Bears At Indianapolis Colts Player A Total Tackles + Assists D'Qwell Jackson Under (7.5) @ 1.87 [colour=red] Lost 1 Stake [/colour] Houston Texans At Minnesota Vikings Player A Total Receiving Yards DeAndre Hopkins Under (74.5) @ 1.87 x2 Stakes [colour=green] Win 3.74 Stakes [/colour] Philadelphia Eagles At Detroit Lions Player A Total Pass Completions Carson Wentz Over (18.5) @ 1.87 X2 Stakes [colour=green] Win 3.74 Stakes [/colour] New York Jets At Pittsburgh Steelers Player E Total Receiving Yards Sammie Coates Over (42.5) @ 1.87 X2 Stakes [colour=green] Win 3.74 Stakes [/colour] New England Patriots At Cleveland Browns Player B Total Rushing Yards Isaiah Crowell Over (68.5) @ 1.87 [colour=red] Lost 1 Stake [/colour] All H2H MIN, DEN, PHI, PIT Multi @ 3.75 x3 Stakes [colour=red] Lost 3 Stakes [/colour] Total of 27 Stakes Wagered With 29.92 Stakes returned for a [colour=green]profit of 2.92 Stakes [/colour]!
Today's bet was a win which Brings the weekly total to a [colour=green] Profit of 3.79 Stakes! [/colour]
Crown Bet Jacksonville Jaguars @ Chicago Bears Brian Hoyer Passing Yards Over/Under Brian Hoyer Over 265.5 @ $1.88 2 Stakes Pittsburgh Steelers @ Miami Dolphins Sammie Coates Receiving Yards Over/Under Sammie Coates Over 55.5 @ $1.88 2 Stakes Cincinnati Bengals @ New England Patriots Tom Brady Passing Yards Over/Under Tom Brady Over 295.5 @ $1.88 2 Stakes Pittsburgh Steelers @ Miami Dolphins Kiko Alonso Tackles Over/Under Kiko Alonso Under 9.5 @ $1.88 2 Stakes Cincinnati Bengals @ New England Patriots Pick Your Own Line New England Patriots (-13.5) @ $2.75 (Win) Pittsburgh Steelers @ Miami Dolphins Pick Your Own Line Pittsburgh Steelers (-13.5) @ $2.75 (Win) San Francisco 49ers @ Buffalo Bills Pick Your Own Line Buffalo Bills (-17.5) @ $3.60 (Win) Sports Bet Carolina Panthers At New Orleans Saints Player B Total Receptions Greg Olsen Over (5.0) @ 1.87 2 Stakes Carolina Panthers At New Orleans Saints Player B Total Receiving Yards Greg Olsen Over (70.5) @ 1.87 2 Stakes Jacksonville Jaguars At Chicago Bears Player F Total Receiving Yards Eddie Royal Over (39.5) @ 1.87 2 Stakes Philadelphia Eagles At Washington Redskins Player A Total Pass Completions Carson Wentz Over (18.5) @ 1.87 2 Stakes American Football - Multi Bet New England Patriots / Pittsburgh Steelers / Buffalo Bills H2H Winner - @2.02 5 stakes
M. Gordon anytime touchdown scorer @1.83 [colour=red]Loss 1 stake[/colour] Crown Bet Jacksonville Jaguars @ Chicago Bears Brian Hoyer Passing Yards Over/Under Brian Hoyer Over 265.5 @ $1.88 2 Stakes [colour=green]Win 3.76 stakes[/colour] Pittsburgh Steelers @ Miami Dolphins Sammie Coates Receiving Yards Over/Under Sammie Coates Over 55.5 @ $1.88 2 Stakes[colour=grey]VOID[/colour] Cincinnati Bengals @ New England Patriots Tom Brady Passing Yards Over/Under Tom Brady Over 295.5 @ $1.88 2 Stakes [colour=green]Win 3.76 stakes[/colour] Pittsburgh Steelers @ Miami Dolphins Kiko Alonso Tackles Over/Under Kiko Alonso Under 9.5 @ $1.88 2 Stakes [colour=green]Win 3.76 stakes[/colour] Cincinnati Bengals @ New England Patriots Pick Your Own Line New England Patriots (-13.5) @ $2.75 (Win) [colour=green]Win 2.75 stakes[/colour] Pittsburgh Steelers @ Miami Dolphins Pick Your Own Line Pittsburgh Steelers (-13.5) @ $2.75 (Win) [colour=red]Loss 1 stake[/colour] San Francisco 49ers @ Buffalo Bills Pick Your Own Line Buffalo Bills (-17.5) @ $3.60 (Win) [colour=green]Win 3.6 stakes[/colour] Sports Bet Carolina Panthers At New Orleans Saints Player B Total Receptions Greg Olsen Over (5.0) @ 1.87 2 Stakes [colour=green]Win 3.74 stakes[/colour] Carolina Panthers At New Orleans Saints Player B Total Receiving Yards Greg Olsen Over (70.5) @ 1.87 2 Stakes [colour=green]Win 3.74 stakes[/colour] Jacksonville Jaguars At Chicago Bears Player F Total Receiving Yards Eddie Royal Over (39.5) @ 1.87 2 Stakes [colour=green]Win 3.74 stakes[/colour] Philadelphia Eagles At Washington Redskins Player A Total Pass Completions Carson Wentz Over (18.5) @ 1.87 2 Stakes [colour=red]Loss 2 stakes[/colour] American Football - Multi Bet New England Patriots / Pittsburgh Steelers / Buffalo Bills H2H Winner - @2.02 5 stakes [colour=red]Loss 5 stakes[/colour] 23 Stakes spend and 28.85 Stakes returned for a[colour=green] Profit of 5.85 Stakes[/colour]
Just updated the above post as Crownbet has pushed Sammie Coates for not playing instead of a loss! Without him and and injury to Big Ben, it gives Pittsburgh excuses even though it cost us 5 stakes.
Not much I like tomorrow, I really like D. Johnson but Jet statistically haven't been giving up the yards despite Johnson Statistically hitting the overs. Giving it the miss this week, the only one that seems a bit of value for money is New York Jets @ Arizona Cardinals To Score 2+ Touchdowns Larry Fitzgerald @ $7.00 0.5 stakes He has scored 2 in 40% of games this season and the Jets have been giving up most TD's to WR!
Lol ya its a bit hard because they don't put up the player markets until the day before so I can't see what available and what the odds are; Then I have to cross check it against my stat sheets and review injuries I cross check it against next gen stats and then add my own analysis from what I watch. When they all fall into line that's what I like to bet!
Sounds good to me. Took a saver on him for Anytime TD at 2.05 as well. Might actually get to watch the game tomorrow
New York Jets @ Arizona Cardinals To Score 2+ Touchdowns Larry Fitzgerald @ $7.00 0.5 stakes [colour=red] Loss 0.5 stake [/colour] Should have stuck with DJ most TD's of the season with 3 in one game. Brings us to a weekly total [colour=green]of 5.35 stakes of profit[/colour] Tips for next week, get on early as I'm sure these lines will move. CROWN BET American Football Minnesota Vikings @ Philadelphia Eagles Winning Margin (Inc OT) Minnesota Vikings Win By Over 12 Points @ $5.50 (Win) 1 stake American Football New England Patriots @ Pittsburgh Steelers Winning Margin (Inc OT) New England Patriots Win By Over 12 Points @ $2.76 (Win) 1 stake Multi the above two- @15.18 - 2 stakes