The NFL Punting thread

Discussion in 'Other Investments' started by brisbanecoin, Sep 11, 2016.

  1. brisbanecoin

    brisbanecoin Member Silver Stacker

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    Miami +7.5 @1.97 [colour=red]Lost -1 stake [/colour]

    Player Props:

    Indianapolis Colts At Jacksonville Jaguars
    Player A Total Tackles + Assists
    D'Qwell Jackson Under (8.5) @ 1.87 5 stakes [colour=green]WIN +9.35 Stakes[/colour]

    Carolina Panthers At Atlanta Falcons
    Player A Total Tackles + Assists
    Luke Kuechly Over (8.5) @1.87 5 stakes [colour=green]WIN +9.35 Stakes[/colour]

    2 leg Multi 2.5 stakes [colour=green]WIN +8.742 Stakes[/colour]

    Total Stakes Wagered 13.5 Total Stakes returned 27.44 For a profit of [colour=green]+13.94 Stakes[/colour]
     
  2. brisbanecoin

    brisbanecoin Member Silver Stacker

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    Crown Bet
    Carolina Panthers @ Atlanta Falcons X2 Stakes [colour=red] Lost -2 stakes [/colour]
    Julio Jones Receiving Yards O/U
    Under 90.5 @ $1.88

    Carolina Panthers @ Atlanta Falcons X2 Stakes [colour=red] Lost -2 stakes [/colour]
    Cam Newton Passing Yards O/U
    Over 252.5 @ $1.75

    Seattle Seahawks @ New York Jets [colour=red] Lost -1 stakes [/colour]
    Matt Forte Rushing Yards O/U
    Over 64.5 @ $1.88
    $10.00

    Detroit Lions @ Chicago Bears X2 Stakes [colour=red] Lost -2 stakes [/colour]
    Matthew Stafford Passing Yards O/U
    Over 280.5 @ $1.88

    Cleveland Browns @ Washington Redskins X2 stakes [colour=red] Lost -2 stakes [/colour]
    Kirk Cousins Passing Yards O/U
    Over 285.5 @ $1.88

    Oakland Raiders @ Baltimore Ravens [colour=grey] VOID [/colour]
    Justin Forsett Rushing Yards O/U
    Under 42.5 @ $1.88

    Sports Bet

    Buffalo Bills At New England Patriots [colour=green] Win +1.87 Stakes [/colour]
    Player A Total Tackles + Assists
    Corey Graham Under (6.5) @ 1.87 2h 33m

    Kansas City Chiefs At Pittsburgh Steelers [colour=green] Win +1.87 Stakes [/colour]
    Player F Total Receiving Yards
    Sammie Coates Over (38.5) @ 1.87

    Denver Broncos At Tampa Bay Buccaneers [colour=green] Win +1.87 Stakes [/colour]
    Player B Total Passing Yards
    Jameis Winston Under (242.5) @ 1.87

    Total 12 stakes wagered, 5.61 Stakes returned for a [colour=red] Net loss of -6.39 stakes [/colour]
     
  3. brisbanecoin

    brisbanecoin Member Silver Stacker

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    Alright guys, thanks for following so far! I have been continuing to review footage, and revise my stat books as well as implementing new systems I have been working on. This week was a bit funny as I lost every bet on Crown and Won every bet on Sports bet! Overall a profitable week however here is the monthly summary

    Week 1- Loss -0.58 Units
    Week 2- Profit +6.135 Units
    Week 3- Loss -8.213 Units
    Week 4- Profit +7.55 Units
    1st Month= Profit +4.89 Units

    I had a slip in Week three where I actually had almost 50 stakes laid out where I have originally said to split into 40 stakes so will Try to avoid that in the future. Also working on some New Models that hopefully will help me back up some Stats but Gee I can't believe Detroit losing to Chicago. Chicago missing the Starting QB, RB, TE, Star LB and Safety with Detroit owning them statistically and Stafford dominating them the last two meets. Didn't see that one coming at all....

    I will keep going and still plenty of time left in the season and starting to get a better overall view of the teams!
     
  4. BuggedOut

    BuggedOut Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    Good work.

    I sometimes find that I win with some books and lose with others on certain sports. It can actually help you to be aware of that because some bookies are consistently better than others at pricing certain sports and if you know that, you can use pricing of sharper bookies as an input to your analysis (if that makes sense) to avoid losses and adjust stakes ;)
     
  5. brisbanecoin

    brisbanecoin Member Silver Stacker

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    Only 1 bet for tomorrow:
    Sports Bet:
    Arizona Cardinals At San Francisco 49ers
    Player A Total Rushing + Receiving Yds
    David Johnson Over (128.5) @ 1.87 1 Stake

    I don't normally explain my bets as I don't always have the time but some insight into why i picked this.
    So far this year DJ has these all purpose yds:
    Game 1:132
    Game 2:143
    Game 3:111
    Game 4:124

    Well statistically its 50/50 Carson Palmer (Arizona's Quarter back is out) and his back up tends to throw a lot of interceptions, Therefore they should be running the ball or using quick screens a lot more then they have been. On top of that San Francisco's Defence is missing Navorro Bowman (Inside linebacker). When he went down, San fran went from leading the game to letting Dallas run all over them. He would also be the one defending the quick screen which should mean a few extra meters for DJ. So good luck tomorrow and hopefully we Smash it out!

    Also get on before Monday is
    Philadelphia Eagles At Detroit Lions
    Big Win Little Win
    Philadelphia Eagles 14+ Pts @ 6.20 1 stake

    Chicago actually dominated Detroit despite missing key players in important positions and right now Phili is a much better team then Chicago on both sides of the ball. They have won there last three games by 19,15 and 31 as well as coming off the bye week which gave them extra time to rest and prepare!

    Will be more for next week, will update Sunday once the markets come out!
     
  6. brisbanecoin

    brisbanecoin Member Silver Stacker

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    Great start to the week, DJ actually had his highest total today putting up 157yds in Rushing alone! He had another 28yds in receiving for a grand total of 185yds!


    Sports Bet:
    Arizona Cardinals At San Francisco 49ers
    Player A Total Rushing + Receiving Yds
    David Johnson Over (128.5) @ 1.87 1 Stake [colour=green]WIN 1.87 Stakes [/colour]
     
  7. BuggedOut

    BuggedOut Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    Unfortunately I didn't get on, but I did note that your analysis was very good this morning. You are thinking like a pro and that's a well deserved win. :)
     
  8. brisbanecoin

    brisbanecoin Member Silver Stacker

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    Sports Bet

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers At Carolina Panthers
    Player B Total Tackles + Assists
    Luke Kuechly Over (8.5) @ 1.87 x2 Stakes

    New York Giants At Green Bay Packers
    Player B Total Passing Yards
    Aaron Rodgers Under (265.5) @ 1.87

    Tennessee Titans At Miami Dolphins
    Player A Total Rushing Yards
    DeMarco Murray Over (80.5) @ 1.87 X2 Stakes

    Tennessee Titans At Miami Dolphins
    Player B Total Tackles + Assists
    Kiko Alonso Over (8.0) @ 1.82

    Atlanta Falcons At Denver Broncos
    Player A Total Passing Yards
    Matt Ryan Under (256.5) @ 1.87 x2 Stakes

    Cincinnati Bengals At Dallas Cowboys
    Player A Total Passing Yards
    Andy Dalton Over (274.5) @ 1.87

    Cincinnati Bengals At Dallas Cowboys
    Player B Total Passing Yards
    Dak Prescott Over (230.5) @ 1.87

    Cincinnati Bengals At Dallas Cowboys
    Player B Total Rushing Yards
    Ezekiel Elliott Over (80.5) @ 1.87

    San Diego Chargers At Oakland Raiders
    Player B Total Tackles + Assists
    Khalil Mack Under (7.5) @ 1.78

    Chicago Bears At Indianapolis Colts
    Player A Total Passing Yards
    Brian Hoyer Over (260.5) @ 1.87 x2 Stakes

    Chicago Bears At Indianapolis Colts
    Player A Total Tackles + Assists
    D'Qwell Jackson Under (7.5) @ 1.87

    Houston Texans At Minnesota Vikings
    Player A Total Receiving Yards
    DeAndre Hopkins Under (74.5) @ 1.87 x2 Stakes

    Philadelphia Eagles At Detroit Lions
    Player A Total Pass Completions
    Carson Wentz Over (18.5) @ 1.87 X2 Stakes

    New York Jets At Pittsburgh Steelers
    Player E Total Receiving Yards
    Sammie Coates Over (42.5) @ 1.87 X2 Stakes

    New England Patriots At Cleveland Browns
    Player B Total Rushing Yards
    Isaiah Crowell Over (68.5) @ 1.87

    All H2H MIN, DEN, PHI, PIT Multi @ 3.75 x3 Stakes
     
  9. brisbanecoin

    brisbanecoin Member Silver Stacker

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    Philadelphia Eagles At Detroit Lions
    Big Win Little Win
    Philadelphia Eagles 14+ Pts @ 6.20 1 stake [colour=red] Lost 1 Stake [/colour]

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers At Carolina Panthers
    Player B Total Tackles + Assists
    Luke Kuechly Over (8.5) @ 1.87 x2 Stakes [colour=green] Win 3.74 Stakes [/colour]

    New York Giants At Green Bay Packers
    Player B Total Passing Yards
    Aaron Rodgers Under (265.5) @ 1.87 [colour=green] Win 1.87 Stakes [/colour]

    Tennessee Titans At Miami Dolphins
    Player A Total Rushing Yards
    DeMarco Murray Over (80.5) @ 1.87 X2 Stakes [colour=green] Win 3.74 Stakes [/colour]

    Tennessee Titans At Miami Dolphins
    Player B Total Tackles + Assists
    Kiko Alonso Over (8.0) @ 1.82 [colour=green] Win 1.87 Stakes [/colour]

    Atlanta Falcons At Denver Broncos
    Player A Total Passing Yards
    Matt Ryan Under (256.5) @ 1.87 x2 Stakes [colour=red] Lost 2 Stakes [/colour]

    Cincinnati Bengals At Dallas Cowboys
    Player A Total Passing Yards
    Andy Dalton Over (274.5) @ 1.87 [colour=red] Lost 1 Stake [/colour]

    Cincinnati Bengals At Dallas Cowboys
    Player B Total Passing Yards
    Dak Prescott Over (230.5) @ 1.87 [colour=red] Lost 1 Stake [/colour]

    Cincinnati Bengals At Dallas Cowboys [colour=green] Win 1.87 Stakes [/colour]
    Player B Total Rushing Yards
    Ezekiel Elliott Over (80.5) @ 1.87

    San Diego Chargers At Oakland Raiders [colour=green] Win 1.87 Stakes [/colour]
    Player B Total Tackles + Assists
    Khalil Mack Under (7.5) @ 1.78

    Chicago Bears At Indianapolis Colts
    Player A Total Passing Yards
    Brian Hoyer Over (260.5) @ 1.87 x2 Stakes [colour=green] Win 3.74 Stakes [/colour]

    Chicago Bears At Indianapolis Colts
    Player A Total Tackles + Assists
    D'Qwell Jackson Under (7.5) @ 1.87 [colour=red] Lost 1 Stake [/colour]

    Houston Texans At Minnesota Vikings
    Player A Total Receiving Yards
    DeAndre Hopkins Under (74.5) @ 1.87 x2 Stakes [colour=green] Win 3.74 Stakes [/colour]

    Philadelphia Eagles At Detroit Lions
    Player A Total Pass Completions
    Carson Wentz Over (18.5) @ 1.87 X2 Stakes [colour=green] Win 3.74 Stakes [/colour]

    New York Jets At Pittsburgh Steelers
    Player E Total Receiving Yards
    Sammie Coates Over (42.5) @ 1.87 X2 Stakes [colour=green] Win 3.74 Stakes [/colour]

    New England Patriots At Cleveland Browns
    Player B Total Rushing Yards
    Isaiah Crowell Over (68.5) @ 1.87 [colour=red] Lost 1 Stake [/colour]

    All H2H MIN, DEN, PHI, PIT Multi @ 3.75 x3 Stakes [colour=red] Lost 3 Stakes [/colour]

    Total of 27 Stakes Wagered With 29.92 Stakes returned for a [colour=green]profit of 2.92 Stakes [/colour]!
     
  10. brisbanecoin

    brisbanecoin Member Silver Stacker

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    Today's bet was a win which Brings the weekly total to a [colour=green] Profit of 3.79 Stakes! [/colour]
     
  11. brisbanecoin

    brisbanecoin Member Silver Stacker

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    M. Gordon anytime touchdown scorer @1.83 only bet I like today
     
  12. brisbanecoin

    brisbanecoin Member Silver Stacker

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    Crown Bet

    Jacksonville Jaguars @ Chicago Bears
    Brian Hoyer Passing Yards Over/Under
    Brian Hoyer Over 265.5 @ $1.88 2 Stakes

    Pittsburgh Steelers @ Miami Dolphins
    Sammie Coates Receiving Yards Over/Under
    Sammie Coates Over 55.5 @ $1.88 2 Stakes

    Cincinnati Bengals @ New England Patriots
    Tom Brady Passing Yards Over/Under
    Tom Brady Over 295.5 @ $1.88 2 Stakes

    Pittsburgh Steelers @ Miami Dolphins
    Kiko Alonso Tackles Over/Under
    Kiko Alonso Under 9.5 @ $1.88 2 Stakes

    Cincinnati Bengals @ New England Patriots
    Pick Your Own Line
    New England Patriots (-13.5) @ $2.75 (Win)

    Pittsburgh Steelers @ Miami Dolphins
    Pick Your Own Line
    Pittsburgh Steelers (-13.5) @ $2.75 (Win)

    San Francisco 49ers @ Buffalo Bills
    Pick Your Own Line
    Buffalo Bills (-17.5) @ $3.60 (Win)

    Sports Bet
    Carolina Panthers At New Orleans Saints
    Player B Total Receptions
    Greg Olsen Over (5.0) @ 1.87 2 Stakes

    Carolina Panthers At New Orleans Saints
    Player B Total Receiving Yards
    Greg Olsen Over (70.5) @ 1.87 2 Stakes

    Jacksonville Jaguars At Chicago Bears
    Player F Total Receiving Yards
    Eddie Royal Over (39.5) @ 1.87 2 Stakes

    Philadelphia Eagles At Washington Redskins
    Player A Total Pass Completions
    Carson Wentz Over (18.5) @ 1.87 2 Stakes


    American Football - Multi Bet
    New England Patriots / Pittsburgh Steelers / Buffalo Bills H2H Winner - @2.02 5 stakes
     
  13. brisbanecoin

    brisbanecoin Member Silver Stacker

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    M. Gordon anytime touchdown scorer @1.83 [colour=red]Loss 1 stake[/colour]

    Crown Bet

    Jacksonville Jaguars @ Chicago Bears
    Brian Hoyer Passing Yards Over/Under
    Brian Hoyer Over 265.5 @ $1.88 2 Stakes [colour=green]Win 3.76 stakes[/colour]


    Pittsburgh Steelers @ Miami Dolphins
    Sammie Coates Receiving Yards Over/Under
    Sammie Coates Over 55.5 @ $1.88 2 Stakes[colour=grey]VOID[/colour]

    Cincinnati Bengals @ New England Patriots
    Tom Brady Passing Yards Over/Under
    Tom Brady Over 295.5 @ $1.88 2 Stakes [colour=green]Win 3.76 stakes[/colour]

    Pittsburgh Steelers @ Miami Dolphins
    Kiko Alonso Tackles Over/Under
    Kiko Alonso Under 9.5 @ $1.88 2 Stakes [colour=green]Win 3.76 stakes[/colour]

    Cincinnati Bengals @ New England Patriots
    Pick Your Own Line
    New England Patriots (-13.5) @ $2.75 (Win) [colour=green]Win 2.75 stakes[/colour]

    Pittsburgh Steelers @ Miami Dolphins
    Pick Your Own Line
    Pittsburgh Steelers (-13.5) @ $2.75 (Win) [colour=red]Loss 1 stake[/colour]

    San Francisco 49ers @ Buffalo Bills
    Pick Your Own Line
    Buffalo Bills (-17.5) @ $3.60 (Win) [colour=green]Win 3.6 stakes[/colour]

    Sports Bet
    Carolina Panthers At New Orleans Saints
    Player B Total Receptions
    Greg Olsen Over (5.0) @ 1.87 2 Stakes [colour=green]Win 3.74 stakes[/colour]

    Carolina Panthers At New Orleans Saints
    Player B Total Receiving Yards
    Greg Olsen Over (70.5) @ 1.87 2 Stakes [colour=green]Win 3.74 stakes[/colour]

    Jacksonville Jaguars At Chicago Bears
    Player F Total Receiving Yards
    Eddie Royal Over (39.5) @ 1.87 2 Stakes [colour=green]Win 3.74 stakes[/colour]

    Philadelphia Eagles At Washington Redskins
    Player A Total Pass Completions
    Carson Wentz Over (18.5) @ 1.87 2 Stakes [colour=red]Loss 2 stakes[/colour]


    American Football - Multi Bet
    New England Patriots / Pittsburgh Steelers / Buffalo Bills H2H Winner - @2.02 5 stakes [colour=red]Loss 5 stakes[/colour]

    23 Stakes spend and 28.85 Stakes returned for a[colour=green] Profit of 5.85 Stakes[/colour]
     
  14. brisbanecoin

    brisbanecoin Member Silver Stacker

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    Just updated the above post as Crownbet has pushed Sammie Coates for not playing instead of a loss! Without him and and injury to Big Ben, it gives Pittsburgh excuses even though it cost us 5 stakes.
     
  15. BuggedOut

    BuggedOut Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    You're doing well, keep it up!

    I need to set an alarm clock, or something so I can get on :)
     
  16. brisbanecoin

    brisbanecoin Member Silver Stacker

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    Not much I like tomorrow, I really like D. Johnson but Jet statistically haven't been giving up the yards despite Johnson Statistically hitting the overs. Giving it the miss this week, the only one that seems a bit of value for money is

    New York Jets @ Arizona Cardinals
    To Score 2+ Touchdowns
    Larry Fitzgerald @ $7.00 0.5 stakes

    He has scored 2 in 40% of games this season and the Jets have been giving up most TD's to WR!
     
  17. brisbanecoin

    brisbanecoin Member Silver Stacker

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    Lol ya its a bit hard because they don't put up the player markets until the day before so I can't see what available and what the odds are; Then I have to cross check it against my stat sheets and review injuries I cross check it against next gen stats and then add my own analysis from what I watch. When they all fall into line that's what I like to bet!
     
  18. BuggedOut

    BuggedOut Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    Sounds good to me. Took a saver on him for Anytime TD at 2.05 as well. Might actually get to watch the game tomorrow :)
     
  19. brisbanecoin

    brisbanecoin Member Silver Stacker

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    New York Jets @ Arizona Cardinals
    To Score 2+ Touchdowns
    Larry Fitzgerald @ $7.00 0.5 stakes [colour=red] Loss 0.5 stake [/colour]

    Should have stuck with DJ most TD's of the season with 3 in one game.

    Brings us to a weekly total [colour=green]of 5.35 stakes of profit[/colour]



    Tips for next week, get on early as I'm sure these lines will move.



    CROWN BET

    American Football
    Minnesota Vikings @ Philadelphia Eagles
    Winning Margin (Inc OT)
    Minnesota Vikings Win By Over 12 Points @ $5.50 (Win) 1 stake


    American Football
    New England Patriots @ Pittsburgh Steelers
    Winning Margin (Inc OT)
    New England Patriots Win By Over 12 Points @ $2.76 (Win) 1 stake

    Multi the above two- @15.18 - 2 stakes
     
  20. brisbanecoin

    brisbanecoin Member Silver Stacker

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    NCAA Tip today!

    2 stakes on Wisconsin badgers h2h @1.48
     

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