Jim Rickards in Money Morning

Discussion in 'Gold' started by JulieW, Jul 23, 2016.

  1. JulieW

    JulieW Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    Latest newsletter for Money Morning:


     
  2. Old Codger

    Old Codger Active Member Silver Stacker

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    Not a fan!


    OC
     
  3. errol43

    errol43 New Member Silver Stacker

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    Well who is?

    Regards Errol 43
     
  4. dccpa

    dccpa Active Member

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    But gold didn't find its footing at $1330. Rickards is just another gold pumptard since he sold out to Casey. Most of these guys make amusing reading/watching, but don't provide you with an actionable advice. Put 10% (conservative)-20%(aggressive) of your assets into gold. He said that years ago and from what I read, he hasn't changed his advice. Not sure why he is noteworthy any more.
     
  5. Old Codger

    Old Codger Active Member Silver Stacker

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    This bloke writes positive or negative stuff depending on what he is flogging that day.

    He has changed the entire persona of 'Daily Reckoning', and probably tripled its profits, but at a cost to its cred. Canavan, Sayce, and Gowdie are the only ones worth reading.

    JMO


    OC
     
  6. Skyrocket

    Skyrocket Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    The only person (PM pumper) you can trust is Marin Katusa. At start of 2011 he was the ONLY person that gave a dark warning to resource (PM) investors which literally got him booed off stage. He told everyone to get ready because the big deflation is coming and that is exactly what happened. Katusa is the best bar none. It's at the start of this video


    [youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5GcLGGJsRrw[/youtube]
     
  7. Old Codger

    Old Codger Active Member Silver Stacker

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    Not interested in buying mining shares,

    Far too many mining companies live on 'estimated' or 'proven' reserves, and end up the results are about 1/4 of the original figures.

    The experts use "could" "up to", "as much as" etc and quote "1234%" as possible profits.

    I get a zillion of these emails every day!

    Rather have the physical in the Vault!

    JMO


    OC
     
  8. Skyrocket

    Skyrocket Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    I too got physical in the vault but I also want a share of what's in the ground. In a bull market far higher returns for a share on what's in the ground.
     
  9. Old Codger

    Old Codger Active Member Silver Stacker

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    "In a bull market far higher returns for a share on what's in the ground."


    IF it really IS in the ground!

    (we used to call them "Blue Sky Mines" back in the olden (Poseidon) days.)

    OC
     
  10. Pirocco

    Pirocco Well-Known Member

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    The dollar is not that weak.
    [​IMG]
    Close to 100, a value that was last seen 10 years ago.
    In the nineties it also hung around that.
    So a further sideways (implying euro sideways too) wouldn't be that abnormal.
     
  11. Pirocco

    Pirocco Well-Known Member

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    Any substantial amount data avail somewhere, for that estimated/proven > actual?
     
  12. Old Codger

    Old Codger Active Member Silver Stacker

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    No, just words of wisdom from the world of mining company share buying in the '60s etc.

    The composition of the text in a share prospectus or Annual Report have to be read VERY carefully. "Creative Writing" they call that.

    Like the global warmies, lots of Could, May, Up to, as much as, etc.

    Drill samples are usually the best they have, and the others are quietly forgotten.

    Caveat emptor.

    OC
     
  13. dccpa

    dccpa Active Member

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    A lot of people warned about silver. Bob Moriarty called the top around $35 and cussed, cussed, cussed until it finally topped. At the end of April, 2011, the British money manager who used to give interviews on KWN nailed it exactly calling for a $10-15 drop in 2-3 days. After that, his predictions went to crap, but that was the best single market call I have ever read. Jim Rogers was right too. Even I knew it was a top when it got close to $50, but I greatly underestimated the correction.

    The current commodities corrections have been the result of supply increases (overbuilding mines/fracking) and demand decreases (China). I agree that when the credit markets implode, we will suffer from extreme deflation and then likely hyperinflation of currencies. The question is always when it will happen.
     
  14. Skyrocket

    Skyrocket Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    ^ pretty sure Katusa was the first to warn about the big deflation.
     
  15. Pirocco

    Pirocco Well-Known Member

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    Yes, but I ment, in the end, they DO report proven/estimated amounts, and they DO report actual, right?
    Regardless the differences between former and latter.
    Otherwise there would be no statement possible at all.
    Since you made a statement, you must have some data available?
    So is there a place you found that collects these from a number of mining companies, abit like historical data, so one can judge the trend of the difference between proven/estimated and actual?
    For ex, a first Google result is this one: http://www.statista.com/statistics/273649/silver-reserves-of-countries/
    "Silver reserves worldwide as of 2015, by country (in 1,000 metric tons)"
    "This statistic shows the silver reserves worldwide as estimated in 2015, distributed by major countries. As of that year, the United States had estimated silver reserves of approximately 25,000 metric tons. Australia, with an estimated 85 thousand metric tons, was ranked second worldwide based on silver reserves."$49 per month*

    "Premium content"

    "Exclusive Premium statistic

    You need a Premium membership to access this statistic.
    Advantages of our Premium Account:

    Immediate access to our full Premium database
    Save time! Easy to include in your presentations
    Credible data! Over 18,000 data sources

    With Statista, you get straight to the point: analyzing data, rather than searching for it. "

    "$49 per month* "

    So is there a freebie around too? :D
    This is about silver not gold though.
    Because I consider the gold mining as a minor factor in the price trend, due to the huge gold stocks in the world, it's "consumed" much less than silver, considering the price ratio.
     
  16. dccpa

    dccpa Active Member

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    You are correct. I stopped following KWN a long time ago, so I didn't know he dropped off the interview roster. That was one incredible call by Davies, but the later calls were not good.

    Skyrocket, a lot of people have been calling for deflation/depression for a long time. It sounds like Katusa's timing was much closer than a lot of them, but I haven't followed him.

    One thing I learned from researching/reading investment gurus is that they practice more historical revisionism than Hillary Clinton. To me, being an investment letter writer is one of the best con games in the world. Buy a stock, tout it in your letter/on your web site. Followers buy and the stock goes up. Sell as the followers are buying. Tell them to sell. Rinse and repeat. You get rich on the stock selections and you get paid too.
     
  17. JulieW

    JulieW Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    Bo Polny !
     
  18. dccpa

    dccpa Active Member

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    Phony, I mean Polny is a great example. Sinclair's brought in Polny when Noricini left. They posted a Polny chart with exact dates. About two days later, wrong-way Polny had missed yet again, but the dates on the chart had been changed. Prior to that event, I had believed Sinclair was sincere, but somewhat misguided. At that point, I lost all respect for Sinclair and abandoned his web site.

    Other than Norcini's writings, and Jim Rogers/Kyle Bass videos, I pay little attention to the prognosticators. Although I rarely see anything from this person, It's A Mystery is someone to pay attention to. He called the Gold/Yen relationship in late 2012/early 2013 and he also called this year's gold rally.
     
  19. JulieW

    JulieW Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    There's probably about 6 people in the world who know what the price of gold is, and will be, and they aren't writing newsletters.
     
  20. JulieW

    JulieW Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    But it's a fun distraction on quiet days.
     

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