Following with interest. My supercoach side is killing me this year! Seggy, Peats, Adam Reynolds, Gallen, Ben Henry, Dale Copley, Leuluai, Pauli Pauli(suspension), added to Nathan Green and Jalen Feeney being absolute garbage. I can't trade out of this for weeks
Game 22 - Warriors vs Melbourne Marika Koroibete To Score A Try : 2 units @ 1.90 Over 10.5 Points Melbourne 2nd Half : 2 units @ 2.00 Over 42.5 Match Points : 2 units @ 2.10 Warriors / Melbourne Halftime / Fulltime : 1 unit @ 8.05
Game 23 - Dragons vs Souths Under 41.5 Match Points : 3 units @ 1.80 Dragons +6.5 Match Handicap : 2 units @ 1.87 Dragons Penalty Goal 1st Scoring Play : 0.5 unit @ 11.00 Halftime Draw : 0.5 unit @ 11.00
Game 22 Results :- Marika Koroibete To Score A Try : 2 units @ 1.90 = +1.8 Over 10.5 Points Melbourne 2nd Half : 2 units @ 2.00 = -2 Over 42.5 Match Points : 2 units @ 2.10 = -2 Warriors / Melbourne Halftime / Fulltime : 1 unit @ 8.05 = -1 Game 22 Total = -3.2 units Misread the pace and intensity of this game. Thought Warriors would fade in the 2nd half but they are getting better (and fitter) Game 23 Results :- Under 41.5 Match Points : 3 units @ 1.80 = +2.4 Dragons +6.5 Match Handicap : 2 units @ 1.87 = +1.74 Dragons Penalty Goal 1st Scoring Play : 0.5 unit @ 11.00 = +5 Halftime Draw : 0.5 unit @ 11.00 = -0.5 Game 23 Total = +8.64 units Got my bets on early because I saw the bad weather coming, but then Benji Marshall pulled out late and the market moved. Turned out a blessing in disguise as he is no wet-weather player anyway
Game 24 - Manly vs Sharks Under 34.5 Match Points : 3 units @ 1.90 Manly Win Match : 2 units @ 2.05 Sharks Penalty Goal 1st Scoring Play : 1 unit @ 11.00 Manly Penalty Goal 1st Scoring Play : 1 unit @ 11.00
For NRL I usually use about 5 different bookmakers at once plus the betting exchange. It is important to shop around and get the best prices. Rarely do Ladbrokes have the best price but sometimes they do so they're worth a look.
Ya sportsbet sucks today Under 34 win Match @2 Sharks Penalty goal @6 Manly " " Still worth laying? Might have to start looking at others (Or you moved the markets too much lol) EDITJust looked at tatts and they are even worse!)
Chickened out on betting last week - however I have to learn when to bet on the upset because if I was forced to put money on any games last week I would have gone with the dragons and the panthers. Started to bet seriously this year and still learning how to do things. Will leave out to Round 4 Bugged Out and if not comfortable there is always next week. I know unit betting is the way to go which I have done with soccer but with NRL and I bet the bank and it has paid nicely. However I think all the easy games are gone and it will be back to unit betting in the future of NRL Rounds this year. Did miss the Warriors games they gotta be the Wooden Spoons this year? TP&CS
Game 24 Results :- Under 34.5 Match Points : 3 units @ 1.90 = +2.7 Manly Win Match : 2 units @ 2.05 = +2.1 Sharks Penalty Goal 1st Scoring Play : 1 unit @ 11.00 = -1 Manly Penalty Goal 1st Scoring Play : 1 unit @ 11.00 = -1 Game 24 Total = +2.8 units Bit of luck tonite never goes astray. That extra half point on the unders was definately appreciated!
Gotta get a couple other bookie accounts so you can shop around for best points and price. That half point can make or break you every week.
Round 3 was a round of upsets...Only scored 4 out of 8 this week....Hard rounds to tip coming up in round 4. Cowboys vs Broncos will be the hardest IMO. Regards Errol 43
NRL Round 3 Summary :- Cowboys vs Roosters = +8.375 Bulldogs vs Parramatta = +3.53 Newcastle vs Canberra = +5.58 Penrith vs Brisbane = -2.04 Titans vs Tigers = -7.5 Warriors vs Melbourne = -3.2 Souths vs Dragons = +8.64 Manly vs Sharks = +2.8 NRL Round 3 Total = +16.185 units Total Units Bet = 53.5 Return On Investment (ROI) = +30.2% Bets Won / Placed = 15/35 Strike Rate (SR) = 42.8% Notes from Round 3 :- 1. After 3 rounds I have not yet had a profitable Titans game. This suggests that I am not reading this team well and/or they are inconsistent/unpredictable. I need to take a much closer look at this teams results and discover what I am missing. 2. My 4 best games I staked 6 or 6.5 units each, while my worst 4 games I staked 7 or 7.5 units. This suggests I may be overstaking and/or getting overconfident. The fact my formline shows 3 wins -> 3 Losses -> 2 Wins is "streaky" and also reinforces this could be an issue.
For sure, although I have the feeling the betting came in to heavy and the market moved as I checked Sportsbet, tatts, William Hill and Ladbrokes. If you have some others that are good feel free to PM a Referral link and I will look into signing up! Keep up the good work!
Game 25 - Souths vs Bulldogs Bulldogs -1.5 Handicap 1st Half : 2 units @ 1.80 Under 37.5 Match Points : 2 units @ 1.90 Bulldogs -14.5 Match Handicap : 1 unit @ 4.00 Penalty Goal 1st Score Type : 1 unit @ 5.50 Curtis Rona 1st Tryscorer : 1 unit @ 8.40
Game 25 Results :- Bulldogs -1.5 Handicap 1st Half : 2 units @ 1.80 = +1.6 Under 37.5 Match Points : 2 units @ 1.90 = -2 Bulldogs -14.5 Match Handicap : 1 unit @ 4.00 = +3 Penalty Goal 1st Score Type : 1 unit @ 5.50 = -1 Curtis Rona 1st Tryscorer : 1 unit @ 8.40 = -1 Game 25 Total = +0.6 units Wow. Souths just not the same team without Sam Burgess. Should have backed Rona like I did in round 1 - he got the 1st try in the 2nd half.
Game 26 - Brisbane vs Cowboys Brisbane Win 1st Half : 2 units @ 1.83 Over 38.5 Match Points : 2 units @ 2.05 Matt Gillett To Score A Try : 0.5 unit @ 3.90 Alex Glenn To Score A Try : 0.5 unit @ 4.75 Andrew McCullough To Score A Try : 0.5 unit @ 6.50 Sam Thiaday To Score A Try : 0.5 unit @ 8.00 Brisbane Penalty 1st Scoring Play : 0.5 unit @ 9.00 Brisbane / Cowboys Halftime / Fulltime Double : 0.5 unit @ 10.00
Game 26 Results :- Brisbane Win 1st Half : 2 units @ 1.83 = +1.66 Over 38.5 Match Points : 2 units @ 2.05 = +2.1 Matt Gillett To Score A Try : 0.5 unit @ 3.90 = -0.5 Alex Glenn To Score A Try : 0.5 unit @ 4.75 = -0.5 Andrew McCullough To Score A Try : 0.5 unit @ 6.50 = -0.5 Sam Thiaday To Score A Try : 0.5 unit @ 8.00 = -0.5 Brisbane Penalty 1st Scoring Play : 0.5 unit @ 9.00 = +4 Brisbane / Cowboys Halftime / Fulltime Double : 0.5 unit @ 10.00 = -0.5 Game 26 Total = +5.26 units What an absolutely cracking game! Should have got a try for Gillett which was wrongly overturned by the bunker. Almost got the HT/FT double too. No complaints though 'cos I had some great in-play trade to top it off.
