Possible new low's, Tug of war!

Discussion in 'Gold' started by menotcrimex, May 19, 2013.

  1. menotcrimex

    menotcrimex Member Silver Stacker

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    As events unfold and change in this VERY manipulated market some forces would appear to want to take gold down further.

    If they do look for $1251 which may end up being a false bottom as the CRAZY target might be $1100.

    If it goes this way look for $1111 as a possible low.

    Its a real tug of war and we shall just have to see how it plays out.

    This is just my opinion and should not be treated as investment advice.

    Good Luck
     
  2. menotcrimex

    menotcrimex Member Silver Stacker

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    Bumpety bump...sorry I can't be certain of these USD Gold prices but they might be close.

    Buy the dip, hold physical

    Cheers
     
  3. menotcrimex

    menotcrimex Member Silver Stacker

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    Posted that in mid May 2013, woke up this morning to see $1251 you have to admit all those predictions put together ie 12th April price smash with silver price and rising GSR, then $1377 Gold and now this, Freaky...

    I LOVE IT!!! oh and your welcome in advance lol
     
  4. menotcrimex

    menotcrimex Member Silver Stacker

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    $1251 false bottom?

    BofAML Turns Bullish On Gold ZeroHedge on Wed, 23 Oct 2013 18:33:36 GMT

    BofAML's MacNeil Curry is changing his view on gold from bearish to bullish. The impulsive gains from the 1251 low of Oct-15 and break of the two-month downtrend (confirmed on the break of 1330) tells him that a medium-term base and bullish turn is unfolding. BoFAML looks for an ultimate break of the 1433 highs of Aug-28, with potential for a push to 1500/1533 long term resistance. In the next several sessions Curry suggest buying dips into 1309, cautioning that this bullish view is "wrong" if gold breaks below 1251. For those awaiting additional confirmation of a turn, Curry notes you need to see a break of 1375 (Sep-19 high & right shoulder off a multi-month Head and Shoulders Top).
     
  5. TheEnd

    TheEnd Well-Known Member

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    Surely with all the talk on MSM about the debt ceiling over the last two weeks this has got many many many more people researching what its all about, especially with all the info on the internet........ Surely, some of these new awaken researchers would read about Gold/Silver as being used as a safe haven/hedge against the collapseing USD?????

    I predicted last year that if the debt ceiling was raised it would be bearish for pms because it would put a collapse off for a while.......But since Oct 17 i'm turning bullish because that freakin debt clock just wont stop and its getting faster and faster and faster as each day goes buy.

    In 08 they were at 10Trillion, today 5 yrs later they're at nearly 18Trillion, by 2018 they will be at 25TRILLION!!!!!!!!!!

    I now think we really will see some price appreciation and the lows are over and done with......To infinty and beyond!!!!!!!
     
  6. menotcrimex

    menotcrimex Member Silver Stacker

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    Yes I agree Gold should rise not fall.

    But then I wonder if they will continue to dump paper gold and hammer the price back down?

    I would think severe damage has been done to the paper gold market so I think who wants paper gold at a
    Time like this?

    I don't know so I'm going to have to watch it unfold and see what happens.
     
  7. menotcrimex

    menotcrimex Member Silver Stacker

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    Edited for copyright restrictions.
     
  8. menotcrimex

    menotcrimex Member Silver Stacker

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    For those that are interested....

    * IF * we see $1111 I now have doubt it will be the bottom.

    I'm still around 75% sure the number will be significant to me

    You know I'm fairly new to this gold numbers / price prediction so doubt is just a part of the learning process.

    So far so good , let's see what happens

    Thanks to those that support my work

    In the meantime....$1100 gold....I've heard that before http://m.theglobeandmail.com/report...rice-forecast/article16243722/?service=mobile

    Edited as did not feel the need to bump this again....yet lol
     
  9. menotcrimex

    menotcrimex Member Silver Stacker

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  10. tolly_67

    tolly_67 Well-Known Member

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    $1267 is about the top of the downwards channel......if it can keep below this this positive momentum could sour and lower we will go....I don't know about you but I can't help but feel the positive strength is still there and it may take some time to be consumed.........perhaps it is the feelings of dissapointment of not picking up NCM and SLR a little while ago which I was contemplating.............I am sure a lot feel just like me and perhaps that is what is keeping those stock prices alleviated....i.e. the fear of having missed out so getting in now just in case prices keep rising.
    I can also see that if 1250 is not maintained, the next level of $1100 will be another guessing game....it gets harder and harder at each level.....$1100, $1000, $930, $840,$700.............because one of these will probably be the bottom...but which one.............there is an awful lot of difference in stock prices between these prices.........it's giving me goosebumps.
     
  11. menotcrimex

    menotcrimex Member Silver Stacker

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  12. tolly_67

    tolly_67 Well-Known Member

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    I am not big on relationships because they change like the weather but one to watch is gold and the u.s. dollar.
    Gold has a tendency as of late to move inversely to the u.s. dollar.
    If you go to a chart of the u.s. dollar you will see that it is exhibiting some strength. It is making a higher high tonight to add to the strength. If it breaks 82 it will be definitely out of its downwards channel and will be heading to new highs.
    This could be very negative for gold for a period and may actually be the signal for a push to the lows we believe may occur with gold.
    Of course gold can rise with a rising u.s. dollar also, I don't deny that but until a trend is broken, it remains in play. Food for thought at 3am.
     
  13. tolly_67

    tolly_67 Well-Known Member

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    ooops...u.s. dollar didn't quite make the clear higher high....maybe next week....still looks good though
     
  14. menotcrimex

    menotcrimex Member Silver Stacker

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    $1251 not only turned out to be a false bottom it was also the recent high of this downtrend on 21 October 2014.
    I predicted a drop to $1100 or lower with my significant number being $1111

    We are about to find out, either way I am tired of the paper market ruling the physical price as I am sure many of you are.
     
  15. JulieW

    JulieW Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    I thought it might be best to post here rather than waste more space on another up/down thread.

    Casey Research with perspectives on the current gold price and future trends.

    It's worth reading the whole article.

    and additionally:

     
  16. CriticalSilver

    CriticalSilver New Member Silver Stacker

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  17. menotcrimex

    menotcrimex Member Silver Stacker

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    The God's are willing it!?

    $1111 here we come

    $5554 here we come

    No $2000, $3000, $4000 Gold nadda just $5554 and much much higher.

    If I am wrong a kicking from the wife and others is in order Lol
     
  18. Ronnie 666

    Ronnie 666 Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    Good Analysis - you kidding ? right
    The Bimbo and Gary are sure to lead you astray
    There is better analysis out there
    Kitco sucks
     
  19. Ronnie 666

    Ronnie 666 Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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  20. Peter

    Peter Well-Known Member

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    Read from the top of the posts.
    Interesting.
     

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