Switzerland Gold referendum how it will affect gold?

Discussion in 'Gold' started by SovereignBuyerMelbourne, Oct 12, 2014.

  1. No1joey

    No1joey Member Silver Stacker

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    Whether the votes go yes or no its good PR for gold. I am going to have my finger on the buy button for the next few weeks watching very carefully.

    America has only sent Germany 5% of the 300 tonnes they requested a while back, wonder why...

    Another big move coming up is LBMA is putting together a new model for Gold pricing.
     
  2. Director

    Director Member

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    Did the Germans end up getting their gold back from the yanks?
     
  3. House

    House Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    :lol: no. Apparently it was to appease a minority party when Merkel was up for election, they didn't really want it.
     
  4. SovereignBuyerMelbourne

    SovereignBuyerMelbourne Member

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    What could happen?
     
  5. JB3

    JB3 Member

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    Thinking about this... Aloud, as it were...

    What if, rather than buy the necessary gold in to back it 20%, what if they just raised the price of gold by 12.3%, as measured in ChF?

    That would mean they could provide a 20% with their current holdings, and it would significantly devalue the ChF relative to other currencies. That would help with their peg... They've been struggling to keep it below 1.2 to the euro for some time.

    Mind, it would be inflationary for the Swiss, and I doubt the ECB and the Fed would be pleased to find their currencies rising against the Swiss Franc, but would it matter that much?

    Or have I misunderstood something?
     
  6. Myles & Myles

    Myles & Myles New Member

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    5%? - I think you'll find that it was less than half a percent!!
     
  7. Audeamus

    Audeamus Member

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    Doubt it will happen, THEY won't allow it. What is interesting is, the Swiss are thinking about it!
     
  8. No1joey

    No1joey Member Silver Stacker

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    Well the conservative party that made the referendum happen is a very popular political party in Sweden. The Yes vote is looking good at this stage. Its not like the Greens here in Australia, it's more like the liberals. It has a 50/50 chance IMO.
     
  9. dozerz

    dozerz Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    sweden?

    the svp is a right wing conservative anti immigration party popular in german speaking switzerland. not sure if they have the 50/50 support, especially in the other language cantons.
     
  10. No1joey

    No1joey Member Silver Stacker

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    Switzerland.

    Even if the party isn't as popular as you think, Gold is very popular with the swiss, always has been. Even if the vote doesn't go through just the thought is good PR for gold. At the end of the day markets are just sentiment.
     
  11. Caput Lupinum

    Caput Lupinum Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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  12. MyAg47

    MyAg47 Member Silver Stacker

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    Something is missing from the they will have to buy 164 tonnes..... HOW much do the have in New York Depository.... is it 1 tonne or 10 tonnes or 100 tonnes or 1000 Tonnes .. my point is with out the current holdings we wont know how much they will need to buy to get to the 20% required.. it could only be a relatively small amount ( that is relatively small if you are a Central Bank) or it could be the whole lot ???
     
  13. JB3

    JB3 Member

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    I based my calculations on the premise that their current monetary base is backed by gold to 7.7%, as advertised, and that the reported volume of money is as quoted.

    of course, if those numbers are inaccurate, the calculations will be too.
     
  14. 797craig

    797craig New Member

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  15. 797craig

    797craig New Member

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    Perhaps what is of greatest concern is that the current government appear to be blissfully ignorant of where Swiss gold is located. When asked where the SNB gold reserves are currently stored, a spokesperson for the Federal Department of Finance answered in parliament:

    "I cannot say, because I do not know, because I do not need to know and because I do not want to know"
    :rolleyes:
     
  16. House

    House Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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  17. Emanance

    Emanance Guest

    Great interview about the upcoming Swiss gold referendum.

    [youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aWrrzVqYMeE[/youtube]
     
  18. dozerz

    dozerz Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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  19. Stackman

    Stackman Member Silver Stacker

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    Quite a long read, but as always insightful and brilliantly written.

    http://www.mauldineconomics.com/ttmygh/this-little-piggy-bent-the-market
     
  20. Caput Lupinum

    Caput Lupinum Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    The Swiss would have to sell their foreign reserves to buy the gold. It would be the only way to buy it without further expanding its central bank's balance sheet forcing them to buy even more gold. This would weaken the euro against the franc given most of the Swiss foreign reserves are in euros and put pressure on franc/euro peg. There is no way this will be allowed to get up.
     

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