Investors tend to be jittery in October, a little more on a hair-trigger than usual. They just need something to set them off. Two possibilities: 1) China starts shooting or "disappearing" protestors in HK, possibly justified by a false flag incident or violence instigated by secret police embedded within the student groups. 2) Ebola in the U.S. causes public panic, people stop flying and fearful employees stay at home. Businesses go under.
3) dead rise from their graves and begin to walk the earth in search of brains, silver becomes the only currency in 1oz generic round form.
not planned until end of november 2014. if it passes they will be unable to peg the franc to the 1.2 euro rate.
I'd like to think they're too smart too but both were toeing the line before. Surprised their attempts fizzled out. 6) Derivitives market collapses (for Errol)
If you can readily envision them, they aren't truly Black Swan events. Black Swans belong to the lower Unknown Knowns and Unknown Unknowns categories.