pick the gold bottom

Discussion in 'Gold' started by kennyfong, Oct 23, 2012.

  1. Ronnie 666

    Ronnie 666 Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    Be careful !!!
    If Barry wins the election you may see a rally that will catch you off guard.
     
  2. The Road Home

    The Road Home Member

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    Very rare that people know his real name.
     
  3. Ronnie 666

    Ronnie 666 Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    Are we sure that is his real name ??? one of many !
     
  4. jkm

    jkm New Member

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    It wasn't last Thursday, when I bought...
     
  5. Ronnie 666

    Ronnie 666 Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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  6. Ronnie 666

    Ronnie 666 Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    Maybe it has begun?
     
  7. No1joey

    No1joey Member Silver Stacker

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    its dropping now because romneys in the lead
     
  8. blesbok

    blesbok Member Silver Stacker

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    I purchased 20 oz's yesterday plus a little platinum. Apparently there is some kind of Indian celebration next week resulting in queues of buyers. ABC told me if I wanted to miss the queues then I should pick up my gold next week Wednesday.
     
  9. alor

    alor Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    the bottoms belongs to Brownee :lol:
     
  10. thatguy

    thatguy Active Member

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    I'd say the bottoms in... the only questions going forward is when QEi+ is announced and when Iran war starts
     
  11. TheEnd

    TheEnd Well-Known Member

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    From 1685 this morning to 1725 as soon as Obama wins and is on the news this afternoon....thats $40 increase in a matter of hours!
     
  12. mdh

    mdh New Member

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    So glad I got my orders in at midnight... always nice to trade the bottom esp after the RBA rates decision punched AUD upwards.

    Thought gold was oversold on fridays smackdown, but wasn't expecting as large a turnaround as this this soon.
     
  13. phynixbullion

    phynixbullion Member

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    Well see 1630's by Friday close aud
     
  14. kennyfong

    kennyfong New Member

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    I made the call about one month ago for a gold bottom in the first week of November in the $1680s USD.

    This was based on 50% - 61.8% retracement from the rally in both time and price, demand factors, as well as seasonality.

    I averaged in on physical silver at $30.50 AUD and gold futures at 1675 and 1680 USD. Regret not taking a larger position as I could almost certainly take a partial liquidation at a limit 1740 USD for a quick profit.

    I'm bullish going into December now [at least!]. The only X-factor is the sharemarket: could we see some plunge in stocks as many commentators are forecasting? A stockmarket fall [if it does happen] may cause temporary volatility in gold [maybe a flight to USD] but I don't think it's causing a gold price plunge.

    Remember what happened to stocks after the Obama victory in 2008 November? Gold pretty much shot straight up for years. Stocks put in a low in March 09 some 4 months after the election but by then gold had been powering up for 4 months.

    Things to look out for in the next few months in my mind are:
    Gold price seasonality
    US Fiscal Cliff
    US unemployment numbers - likely to go up above 8.0% real soon.
     
  15. browski

    browski Member

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    AUD$ 53.08 per gram as we speak. Still cheap. Load up.
    I just walked out of the Perth Mint on Monday with another $4900 worth of AU and AG; no ID disclosure for purchases under 5K ;)
    $53.08 will look ridiculously cheap come the Fiscal Cliff........in only 2 months.
     
  16. Bullion Stacker

    Bullion Stacker Member

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    I believe it will pass $1750 from here, lets see what happens though
     
  17. TreasureHunter

    TreasureHunter Well-Known Member

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    Seems like it's on the increase after the elections. This is a secondary smaller bull run, unless more news come in and stimulate gold higher, it should drop towards the end of November.
     
  18. thatguy

    thatguy Active Member

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    [​IMG]
    http://kingworldnews.com/kingworldn...cks_Today,_Apple,_Gold,_Silver_&_the_VIX.html
    Well closed above 1727.50 and seems someone wants it to stay below 1740 so I am long if it breaks 1740 with stops in @1726
     
  19. finicky

    finicky Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    ^^^

    I was about to post on the weekly - why shouldn't I regard last week's candle as a 'bullish engulfing' candle after a downtrend?
    The more so when the chart has had a golden cross on the daily, as mentioned, and the Daily momentum indicators look to be reversing at the right level?


    [​IMG]
     
  20. TreasureHunter

    TreasureHunter Well-Known Member

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    Dipping again. I think this will be a short-lived increase. The second hump is lower and the power of the increase is rather weak... could we see prices drop further in late 2012?
     

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