Anybody else waiting for silver to dip?

Discussion in 'Silver' started by BootyBandit, Feb 10, 2012.

  1. wrcmad

    wrcmad Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

    Joined:
    Jan 2, 2012
    Messages:
    6,644
    Likes Received:
    1,502
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Location:
    Northern NSW
    Markets hate consolidation. Consolidation is always a prelude to a breakout = good trading.
     
  2. Earthjade

    Earthjade Member

    Joined:
    Aug 4, 2011
    Messages:
    872
    Likes Received:
    1
    Trophy Points:
    18
    Location:
    AU
    Look at this:

    http://www.kitco.com/market/LFrate.html

    The monthly silver lease rate is sitting at -0.355% and falling.

    Turd Ferguson has made the observation that twice last year when the lease rate has fallen below -0.4%, a smackdown occurred within a week.

    If you look at silver's sideways movement (slightly to the downside) recently, my limited experience has shown silver is more likely to dive down than up.
    Only question is how far down it's going to go this time.

    It seems to confirm my theory:

    1) In the absence of any interference, the deflationary pressures in the world economy wants to push teh price of silver down
    2) Only with government or central bank intervention will we get a rise in silver prices (eg. ZIRP or QE announcements)

    ^ This of course, doesn't take organised smackdowns into account.
    But I would be interested to see if the -0.4% lease rate theory will come true this time.
     
  3. VRS

    VRS Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

    Joined:
    Oct 3, 2011
    Messages:
    5,164
    Likes Received:
    92
    Trophy Points:
    48
    Location:
    Brisbane
    Sounds to me like the circumstances you're describing aren't 'unforeseen' then - more out of your immediate control? Does that mean you were buying into the $40's & up in 2011?
     
  4. Recalcitrant

    Recalcitrant New Member

    Joined:
    Apr 6, 2011
    Messages:
    66
    Likes Received:
    0
    Trophy Points:
    0
    Location:
    Toowoomba Qld
    No ! Unforeseen , like loosing my job, and crashing property prices I suppose you could say these are out of my immediate control , I prefer to say running out of options. I bought in at around 36 - 42 . BTW
     
  5. Nugget

    Nugget Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

    Joined:
    Aug 16, 2009
    Messages:
    4,505
    Likes Received:
    42
    Trophy Points:
    48
    Location:
    Brisbogan

    Sorry to hear about your job loss.
     
  6. Ilikemetals

    Ilikemetals Member

    Joined:
    Apr 9, 2011
    Messages:
    266
    Likes Received:
    11
    Trophy Points:
    18
    Location:
    Sydney
    I believe we still have a while yet until we all get the rise in POS we all want. Saving the cash and will buy in each time it dips under $30
     
  7. Philski

    Philski Member

    Joined:
    Sep 9, 2011
    Messages:
    549
    Likes Received:
    7
    Trophy Points:
    18
    Location:
    Tasmania
    just watching the charts. The losers that manipulate it are getting complacent. if you watch it enough you will see it do a chicken dance up and down and plummet $1 or more.

    a drop is on right now, so good timing from them, i didnt notice.. i see nothing.
     
  8. BootyBandit

    BootyBandit New Member

    Joined:
    Jul 23, 2011
    Messages:
    321
    Likes Received:
    0
    Trophy Points:
    0
    Location:
    Gold Coast
    yess finally for once i waited it out , knowing my luck though I will wait for $26 and it will go back to $35 before i buy
     
  9. jnkmbx

    jnkmbx Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Apr 8, 2011
    Messages:
    1,700
    Likes Received:
    54
    Trophy Points:
    48
    Location:
    Sydney, Australia
    I'd rather see consistent movement and trade on the trend until the bend at the end. I've made profits that way. O_O
     
  10. Silverbullet08

    Silverbullet08 New Member

    Joined:
    Oct 18, 2011
    Messages:
    221
    Likes Received:
    0
    Trophy Points:
    0
    Location:
    Perth, WA

    im doing the exact same * finds a spare 20k in a old jacket pocket* :D :D
     

Share This Page