2020 Collapse

Discussion in 'Markets & Economies' started by TreasureHunter, Dec 8, 2019.

  1. sgbuyer

    sgbuyer Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    You sold on this forum?

    Note: Milk rant deleted as totally out of relevance on this thread.
     
  2. 66rounds

    66rounds Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    No been trying for a month before I caught a private sale
     
  3. sgbuyer

    sgbuyer Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    I Guess I’m wrong, these people not rationale after all. This would be the end of Iran’s nuclear programme.
     
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  4. leo25

    leo25 Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    One thing I’ve learned over the many years is to never overestimate the chartist.
     
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  5. mmm....shiney!

    mmm....shiney! Administrator Staff Member Silver Stacker

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    One battle doesn’t make it a war. Early days yet.
     
  6. alor

    alor Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    The Iranian strikes come just hours after the funeral of top general and Quds Force commander Qassem Soleimani, who was killed in a US assassination strike in Baghdad late last week. Tehran has deemed the killing an act of “international terrorism” and promised to take revenge.

    Earlier on Tuesday, the Iranian parliament passed a bill designating the entire American military and Pentagon as “terrorist organizations,” mirroring Washington’s own similar designation of the Iranian Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC) last April.

    https://www.rt.com/news/477680-iran-more-retaliation-strikes/

    some more selling on the markets

    no its not a battle, its a targeted missiles launches at 2 targets
    I believed, the personnel had been moved after the badly drafted letter started circulating in social media
    Frump bragged about the expensive base that he demanded payment from Iraqi before lifting their feet, now that Iran bailed out Iraq from their potential debt, there is no bases there anymore, no need to pay before evacuation
     
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  7. sgbuyer

    sgbuyer Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    You're right. I throw in the towel, just ordered another batch. Now preparing for the price to fall later. :D
     
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  8. TreasureHunter

    TreasureHunter Well-Known Member

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    So, now you bought in, but you're expecting a correction?
     
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  9. sgbuyer

    sgbuyer Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    just a pre-emptive move in case the situation escalates and the price goes up further, but I hope to buy more. Was actually looking forward to $1400 which now looks impossible. I should have bought much more at $1460 a month ago.
     
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  10. Holdfast

    Holdfast Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    When folk were buying series 2 1oz gold Lunar Dragons for AUD$1800 I thought folk were nuts.
    When folk were buying series 2 Lunar Horse 1 oz gold coins for AUD $1600 I thought they were nuts.
    When folk were buying 1 kg series 2 Lunar Mouse I though people were nuts.
    When folk were buying ...................

    When folk bought bitcoin at 450 bucks I thought they were nuts! :)

    Time is your friend, if you have time. :)
     
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  11. alor

    alor Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    nuts are good to eat for most people
     
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  12. TreasureHunter

    TreasureHunter Well-Known Member

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    Same feeling here, similar thoughts. Now it's hard to tell what's a correction and that "just a bump".

    Now it's all in Trump's thick-fingered rough hands. If he "takes it easy", then gold will lose momentum and combined with some (inflated/potentially fake) positive economic news, the dollar will gain strength and gold will go a bit lower. But I'm not sure we'll see 1,400 $ again this year.
     
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  13. sgbuyer

    sgbuyer Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    We’ll be lucky if it falls back to even $1460, so far each time I buy, I’ve been buying a batch every 3-4 months, it doesn’t fall back to the price I bought the previous time. Cost averaging isn’t working for me in the last 1 year.
     
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  14. TreasureHunter

    TreasureHunter Well-Known Member

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    3,000 $ is realistic and 5,000 $ is possible.

    Seeing the tremendous momentum this year, this no longer seems like "science fiction" or "wishful thinking". It's a possibility that might as well turn into a probability.

    While 2,000 $ gold seemed to be far away in 2011-2012, when everyone was predicting it, we're now jumping 100-150 $ upwards.
    In merely 1 year, gold jumped 300 $.

    Who would have thought?

    I think gold will speed up in the coming years. Yes, IT IS HAPPENING.
     
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  15. alor

    alor Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    when king dollar had been chopped we never knew the king is dead
     
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  16. leo25

    leo25 Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    You just triggered the magic word, so i have to post this :D

    [​IMG]
     
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  17. sgbuyer

    sgbuyer Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    After this episode I’ve to agree that Trump is totally unpredictable. Some Iran affiliated militias mobbed and burned the reception of the US embassy and he terminated Iran’s top general without a second thought.
     
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  18. madaw1

    madaw1 Well-Known Member

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    I agree with you as the most people do ,therefore the price going steady up. If you are talking about 5000 AUD gold price-yes it is possible-we only don't know when...
     
  19. sgbuyer

    sgbuyer Well-Known Member Silver Stacker

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    I've said it's the number of ounces that counts. Doesn't matter if buy at $1200, $1450 or $1600, if the price goes to $3000, ounces count more than entry price.

    For example,
    5 ounces, bought at $1200. At $3000, the net profit is $9k.
    10 ounces bought at $1600. At $3000, the net profit is $14k.
    20 ounces bought at $1600. At $3000, the net profit is $28k.

    Same logic applies to silver and other metals. Problem with other metals, people usually buy in much smaller quantity, due to gst, higher spreads and risk, so even if prices goes up 4-5 times, profit is still much less.

    For silver, assume premium of $1.5 per oz, doesn't matter if bought at $14 or $17 per oz, it's the bulk that counts.

    200 ounces of silver at $14. At $25 silver, assume premium lost is $1.50 the net profit is $1.9k.
    400 ounces of silver at $17. At $25 silver, net profit is $2.6k
    800 ounces of silver at $17. At $25 silver, net profit is $5.2k
     
    Last edited: Jan 8, 2020
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  20. TreasureHunter

    TreasureHunter Well-Known Member

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    I'm thinking in USD :D
     
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