Here is a great video from George Gammon where he breaks Down Deutsche Banks financial status, and explains the possible Federal reserve Repo market bailout. Some say that Deutsche Bank is already insolvent/bankrupt, but is being Bailed out by the federal reserve via the repo market. When the next recession comes, it will be very interesting to see if DB is going to survive. And if not, we can expect an Lehman like situation, where panic erupts in the global financial system, wich again will mean Precious metals Will se massive increase in prices
It's a good and very important question Vw1972 given the repercussions for global financial system. A thread was kicked of on the subject of DB last year too. Have a look see. https://www.silverstackers.com/foru...-canary-in-the-euro-financial-coalmine.91830/ To be honest I surprised they got past 31 Dec 2019 as a listed entity.
Repo started in mid-sept. Isn't it strange that US Fed had to bailout a German bank? Can't see this money printing be extended for long. At some stage, something has to give way.
I don't expect gold to fall by much this time round. In GFC, it's because gold was in a bubble itself, having risen from over $250 in year 2000 to over $900 by 2008. but silver will be another matter.
I have been watching quiet a few of Georges videos the past week. He explains the financial black magic being used on global markets in a language even a fool like me can understand. DB has a market cap of 20Bn but its asset backed value is negative $5Bn....losing money on 4 out of its 6 main revenue streams....DB even had its risk rating reduced as a GSIB LOL , 2% down to 1.5% revenue requirement. Something seems wrong to me which is why i started stacking. I dont need to be a market wizz to know someone is rigging the game on us all.
Just saw the video, it's a very good find, no time wasting talk. Every sentence is useful. In summary, does it mean if interest rates rises sharply or the stock market drops, or Moody downgrades the insurance company, DB will go bust? Another thing which I don't understand is how Repo can help DB when it is only for overnight lending, if I've not misunderstood how Repo works? Unless, the purpose is just to lower the interest rates?
They can continuously roll over the repos from what I know, so no longer restricted to just overnight.
I had to watch his last 10 or so vids to get the full picture of what is taking place. the way he explains it, makes it sound like Its all connected and any of those 3 things can potential kill DB, plus if DB goes down it will start a domino effect across the global market (HSBC/Goldman & co) as they are all in it together like pigs at a trough...just like the good ol days....wsith some free cross lateral bi lateral cross party tri party no party financial weapons of mass destruction exposure levels. The banksters just cant seem to help themselves what with the FED/ECB sowing moral hazard with their bale outs back then and now......kinda seems stupid now for us to have thought the banks and other global players would have learned any lessons
Thanks. I didn't think of that! There would be a stage where the bailout will end. Even Lehman wasn't bailout in the end. I read that HSBC is linked to DB. HSBC has huge Asian business, if so, this contagion will spread to Singapore and Asia. Getting scary.
I am stating the obvious but there is a lot of politics and back room deals that determines who does and does not get bailed out. It not about economics and the worst performing banks.